3045 Montpelier Pl · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.
Key facts
- Screened porch
- Dining room
- Separate living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.65%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,880
- List price
- $76,000
- Delta
- 33.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3083 Montpelier Pl | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-9%) | 1mo | $45,500 | $42 | 81 |
| 1568 Burton Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+1%) | 3mo | $37,000 | $31 | 78 |
| 1514 Dexter Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-5%) | 6mo | $68,500 | $61 | 67 |
| 3220 Arnwood Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,076 (-9%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $28 | 58 |
| 3386 Seaton Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+2%) | 4mo | $148,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 1485 Brentwood Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,298 (+10%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $96 | 55 |
| 1171 Brentwood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,076 (-9%) | 5mo | $27,000 | $25 | 53 |
| 1347 Tonedale Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (+9%) | 6mo | $134,000 | $104 | 48 |
| 670 Poppy Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $28 | 48 |
| 1025 Mimosa Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (+8%) | 4mo | $97,000 | $76 | 46 |
| 3178 Napier Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,294 (+10%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $39 | 45 |
| 1247 Carlisle Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-11%) | 2mo | $151,000 | $144 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $16,259
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $56,445
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $581/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $441 | +0% $419 | +5% $398 | +10% $376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $330 | -5% $375 | +0% $419 | +5% $464 | +10% $509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $439 | base $419 | +0.5pp $400 | +1.0pp $380 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 728 Key St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1299 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $900 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $895 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $850 | $0.97 | 44d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2154 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3588 Morgan Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3469 Kingsbury Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $76,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $76,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $76,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $76,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-01-15status Back On Market 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.
-
2026-01-14historical 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.
-
2025-06-09historical
-
2025-03-14$76,000 New 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.
-
2025-03-14$76,000 New
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $581 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $699 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,642
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$581
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,091
- − Management
- −$1,091
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $4,030
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$967
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $76,000 GAMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $76,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $581 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…