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3045 Montpelier Pl
C Composite 59.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$76,000

3045 Montpelier Pl · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,182 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 279 Days on market
Built 1947 0.34 ac lot $64/sqft · 34% above area Est $57k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.

Key facts

  • Screened porch
  • Dining room
  • Separate living room

Tags

NEW ROOFSCREENED PORCHFENCED LOTSEPARATE LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMGENEROUSLY SIZED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.65%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,880
List price
$76,000
Delta
33.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3083 Montpelier Pl 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-9%) 1mo $45,500 $42 81
1568 Burton Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,192 (+1%) 3mo $37,000 $31 78
1514 Dexter Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-5%) 6mo $68,500 $61 67
3220 Arnwood Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,076 (-9%) 1mo $30,000 $28 58
3386 Seaton Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+2%) 4mo $148,000 $122 57
1485 Brentwood Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+10%) 6mo $125,000 $96 55
1171 Brentwood Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,076 (-9%) 5mo $27,000 $25 53
1347 Tonedale Ct 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+9%) 6mo $134,000 $104 48
670 Poppy Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-11%) 1mo $30,000 $28 48
1025 Mimosa Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,274 (+8%) 4mo $97,000 $76 46
3178 Napier Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,294 (+10%) 5mo $50,000 $39 45
1247 Carlisle Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-11%) 2mo $151,000 $144 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$16,259
Equity at exit
$11,332
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$56,445
Equity at exit
$6,571

Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31204

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,137 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$399
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $581/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $606
Max offer price $76,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $462 -5% $441 +0% $419 +5% $398 +10% $376
Rent -10% $330 -5% $375 +0% $419 +5% $464 +10% $509
Rate -1.0pp $458 -0.5pp $439 base $419 +0.5pp $400 +1.0pp $380

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,000
Closing costs
$2,280
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3034 Churchill St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 872 $900 $1.03 21d 1 0.19mi
1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.24mi
1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,000 $0.89 21d 1 0.26mi
1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1117 $895 $0.80 14d 1 0.41mi
728 Key St Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1210 $1,200 $0.99 21d 1 0.47mi
1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,250 $1.09 21d 1 0.47mi
424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 810 $850 $1.05 44d 1 0.50mi
1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 21d 1 0.57mi
1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $889 $1.05 44d 1 0.58mi
1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 44d 1 0.70mi
1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,065 $1.04 21d 1 0.80mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,060 $1.06 21d 1 0.83mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,125 $0.94 21d 1 0.83mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.83mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $850 $0.85 14d 1 0.83mi
1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 44d 1 0.93mi
1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1299 $1,300 $1.00 44d 1 0.94mi
2445 Lowe St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 940 $890 $0.95 44d 1 1.00mi
3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 14d 1 1.05mi
3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1094 $895 $0.82 21d 1 1.11mi
3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 874 $850 $0.97 44d 4 1.23mi
1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,350 $1.11 21d 1 1.24mi
2154 Napier Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,400 $1.04 21d 1 1.27mi
1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 44d 1 1.27mi
3588 Morgan Dr Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1080 $1,200 $1.11 21d 1 1.32mi
2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 44d 1 1.33mi
1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 44d 1 1.44mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 44d 1 1.44mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 900 $795 $0.88 44d 1 1.44mi
185 Oak Haven Ave Apt A4 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 21d 1 1.45mi
3469 Kingsbury Dr Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 44d 1 1.48mi
2350 English Ave Apt 3D Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 980 $1,095 $1.12 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $76,000 Active 279 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $76,000 Active 278 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $76,000 Active 277 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $76,000 Active 276 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $76,000 Active 275 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $76,000 Active 273 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $76,000 Active 272 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $76,000 Active 270 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $76,000 Active 269 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $76,000 Active 268 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $76,000 Active 267 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $76,000 Active 263 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $76,000 Active 262 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $76,000 Active 261 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $76,000 Active 260 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $76,000 Active 259 DOM
  17. 2026-01-15
    status Back On Market 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.

  18. 2026-01-14
    historical 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.

  19. 2025-06-09
    historical
  20. 2025-03-14
    listed $76,000 New 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.

  21. 2025-03-14
    listed $76,000 New
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is ready for its next chapter! Featuring a brand new roof, a screened porch, and a fenced lot, this property offers great outdoor space and room to make it your own. Inside, you'll find a separate living room and dining room, plus a generously sized kitchen, perfect for creating your dream space. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine! This property is currently in probate, and the sale process may take up to 45 days. Seller is a licensed Realtor.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$581 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$699 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$118/yr (+$10/mo · 20.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,642
− Mortgage interest
−$4,257
− Property taxes
−$581
− Insurance
−$380
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,091
− Management
−$1,091
− Depreciation
−$2,211
Taxable income
$4,030
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$967
After-tax cash flow
$4,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,421
Household income
$38,784
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
2674.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
194.5459
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-06-09 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $76,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $76,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $581 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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