672 Red Oaks Dr · Brighton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and ideally located in Genoa Township, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and a great everyday lifestyle. Enjoy the benefit of low township taxes while being located within the desirable Hartland School District and just a short walk to Lake Chemung. Inside, the home is clean, functional, and ready for its next owner, with a layout that works well for everyday living. The two-car garage adds excellent utility, featuring dual garage doors for convenient drive-through access - perfect for trailers, toys, projects, or easy backyard access. With its strong location, practical features, and move-in-ready condition, this home is a great opportunity in a highly convenient area close to lakes, shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
Key facts
- Backyard access
- Drive-through access
- Two-car garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with drive-through access
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 103 x 169 x 177 (0.33 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing gas range; Free‑standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Deck
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.4% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hartland Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #41 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $230k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.64%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,536
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1060 Apple Blossom Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $163 | 71 |
| 693 N Red Oaks Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 18mo | $170,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 5806 Commanche Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+12%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 515 Cheyenne Trl | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (+5%) | 24mo | $165,000 | $126 | 61 |
| 584 Black Oaks Trl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+9%) | 6mo | $530,000 | $391 | 56 |
| 401 Cherokee Bnd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 14mo | $284,500 | $249 | 56 |
| 1197 Chemung Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+4%) | 20mo | $331,500 | $255 | 54 |
| 5410 Ridgemont St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (-2%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 5332 Wildwood Dr | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 11mo | $333,000 | $278 | 48 |
| 1339 Elmhurst Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,431 (+15%) | 7mo | $287,000 | $201 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-14,624
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $16,278
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48843
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,296 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,873/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $486 | -5% $421 | +0% $356 | +5% $291 | +10% $226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $265 | +0% $356 | +5% $447 | +10% $537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $472 | -0.5pp $415 | base $356 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 979 Arundell Ave Howell, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $2,350 | $1.78 | 0d | 7 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $229,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$229,900 Active
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Move-in ready and ideally located in Genoa Township, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and a great everyday lifestyle. Enjoy the benefit of low township taxes while being located within the desirable Hartland School District and just a short walk to Lake Chemung. Inside, the home is clean, functional, and ready for its next owner, with a layout that works well for everyday living. The two-car garage adds excellent utility, featuring dual garage doors for convenient drive-through access - perfect for trailers, toys, projects, or easy backyard access. With its strong location, practical features, and move-in-ready condition, this home is a great opportunity in a highly convenient area close to lakes, shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
-
2026-05-26$229,900 Active 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Move-in ready and ideally located in Genoa Township, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and a great everyday lifestyle. Enjoy the benefit of low township taxes while being located within the desirable Hartland School District and just a short walk to Lake Chemung. Inside, the home is clean, functional, and ready for its next owner, with a layout that works well for everyday living. The two-car garage adds excellent utility, featuring dual garage doors for convenient drive-through access - perfect for trailers, toys, projects, or easy backyard access. With its strong location, practical features, and move-in-ready condition, this home is a great opportunity in a highly convenient area close to lakes, shopping, dining, and major commuting routes.
-
2015-01-31historical
-
2014-10-29$1,250
-
2008-07-11soldstatus $110,000
-
2008-07-03soldstatus $110,000
-
2007-06-26$130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,873 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,707 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$834/yr (+$69/mo · 44.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$1,873
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,204
- − Management
- −$2,204
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$132
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,140/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartland Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617910
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,269
- Composite
- 51.93/100
- National rank
- #1647
- State rank
- #41 of 540 in MI
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #2621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Livingston County · 121,626 people
- City population
- 27,289
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,014
- Household income
- $94,577
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -326.17%
- Current HPI
- 180.5058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+76.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $229,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $229,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-01-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-10-29 Listed $1,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-07-11 Sold (MLS) $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-26 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,873 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…