40 Lily Dr · Lake Placid, FL 33852

$44,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 602 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Ready for some fun in the sun? Right now, you can own a 2026 1 bed/1 bath, 644 sq. ft. home for less than you would rent an apartment for. This home is located in Sunshine MH & RV Resort, a family-oriented, professionally managed manufactured home community. Call today and make an appointment to view this home. Flexible financing options are available!

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $44,900

Exterior

• Home design: Spec new construction; Address: 40 Lily Dr, Lake Placid, FL 33852

Interior

• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Living area approximately 602

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 3.7% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1488 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $44,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.78% ✓
• Cap rate: 24.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 64.50%
• DSCR: 3.87
• GRM: 3.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $4,214
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
89 Circle Rdg	0.17mi	1/1.0	624 (+4%)	16mo	$3,000	$5	73
2 Brachs St	0.11mi	1/1.0	672 (+12%)	23mo	$5,000	$7	57
18 Gary Ave	0.45mi	2/1.0 (+1)	672 (+12%)	1mo	$59,000	$88	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 61.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.63×
• Total profit: $33,100
• Equity at exit: $6,695

10-year hold

• IRR: 65.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.87×
• Total profit: $73,790
• Equity at exit: $3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33852

• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 1488
• Price-to-rent: 3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,248 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$235
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$56 /mo · $674/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$262
• Net cashflow: $676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393

Max offer price $44,900

Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,225
• Closing costs: $1,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $44,900 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $44,900 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $44,900 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $44,900 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $44,900 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $44,900 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $44,900 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $44,900 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $44,900 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 356-char remark
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $44,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,977
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,515
• − Property taxes: −$674
• − Insurance: −$224
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,198
• − Management: −$1,198
• − Depreciation: −$1,306
• Taxable income: $7,862
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,887
• After-tax cash flow: $6,222/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim and trimming the landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Highlands
• NCES district ID: 1200840
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,276
• Composite: 36.42/100
• National rank: #4672
• State rank: #54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Placid

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #525
• US rank: #9813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Highlands County · 98,898 people
• City population: 22,600
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• Population (ZIP): 22,600
• Household income: $54,284
• Rent vs Own: 18.6% rent · 81.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 439.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 99,674 people
• By 2030: 99,615 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 99,342 · -0.3%
• By 2050: 98,242 · -1.4%
• By 2075: 93,291 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -203.31%
• Current HPI: 224.8693
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.82%
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B