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451 Regency Park
D- Composite 39.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,250

451 Regency Park · Columbia, SC 29210
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Condo public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2007 $65/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-in ready, all one-level home with modern updates throughout! This home features an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings in the dining and family room, creating a bright and spacious feel. Enjoy no carpet with LVP flooring throughout, fresh paint, and new lighting. The updated kitchen includes a new backsplash, bar seating area, and all new appliances including the refrigerator. Both bathrooms have been updated, and the owner’s suite features an oversized tub for relaxing at the end of the day. Step outside to a fenced-in yard with storage, perfect for everyday living and outdoor enjoyment. A beautifully updated home that’s truly move-in ready! Disclaimer: CMLS has not rev

Key facts

  • Bar seating area
  • Open floor plan
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSLVP FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENNEW BACKSPLASHBAR SEATING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved road access
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Has association; Association maintains common areas, front yard, and green areas

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Vinyl exterior finish
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Privacy wood fence in rear

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with bar; Granite countertops with granite and tile backsplash; Wood cabinets (other); Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Free-standing range; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with garden tub, private bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, and luxury vinyl plank flooring; Second bedroom on main level with shared bath, tub/shower, and private closet
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout main living areas
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Vaulted and high (over 9 ft) ceilings; Attic access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level in heated space; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-187/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (1.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #496 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 541 students, 100% FRL); Columbia High (math 17% / reading 67%, grade F, #174 of 196 statewide, top 90%, 665 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $162k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,648 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,678
Equity at exit
$24,192
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-11,622
Equity at exit
$14,028

Cash invested: $45,430 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29210

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$851
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $581/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$65
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,306
Max offer price $159,502
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $76 -5% $30 +0% $-16 +5% $-61 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-66 +0% $-16 +5% $35 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $66 -0.5pp $26 base $-16 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,562
Closing costs
$4,868
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1473 Haviland Cir Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,499 $1.05 11d 1 0.19mi
169 Brook Pines Dr Columbia, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,185 $1.69 11d 26 0.28mi
4248 Donavan Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,586 $1.29 19d 1 0.49mi
1335 Cactus Ave Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1155 $1,450 $1.26 15d 1 0.66mi
800 Beatty Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 930 $1,074 $1.15 24d 1 0.69mi
265 Timber Ct Columbia, SC 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,495 $1.50 22d 1 0.74mi
1211 Metze Rd Unit G3 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 826 $1,100 $1.33 22d 1 0.76mi
135 Hunters Grove Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,595 $1.12 22d 1 0.77mi
405 Hickory Hill Dr Unit 405 Columbia, SC 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,400 $1.00 24d 1 0.79mi
1008 Creekside Way Unit 1 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,295 $1.13 11d 1 0.83mi
1002 Creekside Way Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 15d 1 0.84mi
6007 Village Creek Dr Unit 6007 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,195 $0.92 24d 1 0.85mi
217 Wynn Way Unit B Columbia, SC 2.0 1.5 1160 $1,095 $0.94 19d 1 0.90mi
2025 Apple Valley Rd Unit B Columbia, SC 2.0 1.0 842 $925 $1.10 24d 1 0.94mi
1212 Metze Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1026 $1,125 $1.10 24d 13 0.95mi
3609 Juneau Rd Unit A4 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 19d 1 1.04mi
2218 Apple Valley Rd Apt B Columbia, SC 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 1.05mi
2218 Apple Valley Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 972 $1,295 $1.33 24d 1 1.05mi
3609 Juneau Rd Unit B28 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 24d 1 1.07mi
3300 Kay St Columbia, SC 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 15d 19 1.08mi
1510 Saint Andrews Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,215 $1.02 15d 36 1.08mi
846 Piney Grove Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,495 $1.07 24d 1 1.08mi
3609 Juneau Rd Unit 3609 F-73 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 24d 1 1.11mi
3609 Juneau Rd Unit F 74 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,145 $1.15 3d 1 1.11mi
3609 Juneau Rd Unit F73 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,255 $1.25 22d 1 1.11mi
3500 Fernandina Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1011 $1,350 $1.34 24d 5 1.13mi
3406 Fernandina Rd Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,245 $1.24 24d 1 1.15mi
1200 Saint Andrews Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 867 $1,360 $1.57 11d 32 1.18mi
240 Jamil Rd Columbia, SC 2.0 1.5 1013 $1,172 $1.16 4d 2 1.20mi
240 Jamil Rd #3 Columbia, SC 2.0 1.5 1027 $1,250 $1.22 24d 1 1.20mi
961 Zimalcrest Dr Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,062 $1.16 11d 9 1.23mi
601 St Andrews Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1085 $1,238 $1.14 4d 19 1.36mi
1725 Kathleen Dr Unit B Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,275 $1.16 24d 1 1.38mi
51 Heritage Village Ln Unit 1 Columbia, SC 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,400 $1.22 24d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$65 · $780/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    price $162,250
  3. 2026-04-23
    price $167,500
  4. 2026-03-31
    listed $170,000 Active
  5. 2026-02-27
    soldstatus $105,000
  6. 2026-01-29
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$581 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$925 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$344/yr (+$29/mo · 59.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,438
− Mortgage interest
−$9,089
− Property taxes
−$581
− Insurance
−$811
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− HOA
−$780
− Depreciation
−$4,720
Taxable loss
−$3,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$723
After-tax cash flow
$536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 01
NCES district ID
4503360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,931
Composite
25.94/100
National rank
#7335
State rank
#54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, SC
County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
39,962
Household income
$50,871
Rent vs Own
63.7% rent · 36.3% own
Severe rent burden
2859.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 34% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.61%
Current HPI
226.2564
Rent YoY
▲ 5.00%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $162,250 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $167,500 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $170,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2026-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $581 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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