214 A St · Dickinson, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- New ac unit
- New exterior doors
- New windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 6,050 sq ft
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced Air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Forced Air heating; Central cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.8% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.44%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,100
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1126 6th Ave SE | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (0%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $82 | 88 |
| 215 E St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $153 | 70 |
| 886 Dan Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+8%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $63 | 68 |
| 211 E St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 6mo | $169,000 | $148 | 66 |
| 1467 4 Ave SE | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,155 (+5%) | 6mo | $113,000 | $98 | 62 |
| 217 G St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+12%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $141 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $29,386
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 42.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.87×
- Total profit
- $73,603
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58601
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $657
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $704 | -5% $681 | +0% $657 | +5% $634 | +10% $610 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $545 | -5% $601 | +0% $657 | +5% $714 | +10% $770 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $692 | -0.5pp $675 | base $657 | +0.5pp $640 | +1.0pp $622 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $68,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $68,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $68,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $68,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$69,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,020
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $7,238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including exterior painting and roof repair. Upgrades to the exterior and roof would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — roof not visible
- Moderate exterior siding — visible wear
- Minor interior walls — some paint wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both repair roof — improves structural integrity and resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · roof not visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · visible wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior walls · some paint wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $18,500–68,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both repair roof — improves structural integrity and resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dickinson 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800038
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,270
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5080
- State rank
- #29 of 53 in ND
Livability — Dickinson
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dickinson, ND
- County
- Stark County · 29,916 people
- City population
- 29,916
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,916
- Household income
- $85,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 813.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,426 people
- By 2030
- 60,812 · +20.6%
- By 2040
- 84,155 · +66.9%
- By 2050
- 110,718 · +119.6%
- By 2075
- 186,710 · +270.3%
- By 2100
- 264,902 · +425.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.57%
- Current HPI
- 188.1029
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $69,000 Badlands BOR MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…