198 Cincinnati Ave · Xenia, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious home has so much potential & charm w/ many original historic details. .. Starting with the wrap-around front porch that greets you when you arrive. Inside you will find tall ceilings, a beautiful open stair case, large windows, built-in bookcases, hutches & more! After you enter into the foyer, there is a formal living room w/ gorgeous fireplace mantle & bay window. Next there is a family room/den. Off of the family room is a FIRST FLOOR master with full en suite bath. There's a large dining room w/ stunning bay window overlooking the backyard and built-in hutch. Kitchen and a den/workshop finish off the first floor. Upstairs, there are 3 huge bedrooms with generous closets (including walk-in) and a 2nd full bath. Out back, enjoy beautiful landscaping with a garden area (including stone wall gardens, a covered patio, perennial flowers, a shed and detached garage. Additional lot located behind alley provides additional parking.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Built-in bookcases
- Oversized windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Central air conditioning; Steam heat; Gas water heater
- Home design: Two-story residential home; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (20 x 30)
- Bedrooms: Second-floor bedroom (13 x 12); Second-floor bedroom (16 x 13); Second-floor bedroom (13 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Recently remodeled; Walk-in closets; Decorative fireplace; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Xenia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in OH, #3,892 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
- Xenia Community City (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #478 of 656 in OH (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $210k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.60%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $256,095
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 W 3rd St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 2,304 (-6%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 789 Ormsby Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,476 (+2%) | 15mo | $256,623 | $104 | 53 |
| 843 Cincinnati Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 | 2,254 (-8%) | 21mo | $237,000 | $105 | 37 |
| 502 N King St | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 | 2,665 (+9%) | 22mo | $339,500 | $127 | 31 |
| 483 N King St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,201 (-10%) | 22mo | $309,000 | $140 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-14,504
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $28,202
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45385
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,030 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,278/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 Cincinnati Ave Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1866 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 153 W 3rd St Xenia, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2006 | $1,450 | $0.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.18mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-10status $210,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-03$210,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,278 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,777 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$499/yr (+$42/mo · 21.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,363
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,278
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,949
- − Management
- −$1,949
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$736
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Xenia Community City
- NCES district ID
- 3904515
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,206
- Composite
- 40.31/100
- National rank
- #3752
- State rank
- #478 of 656 in OH
Livability — Xenia
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #3892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Xenia, OH
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 40,617
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,617
- Household income
- $76,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 906.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.15%
- Current HPI
- 239.0473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+255.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $210,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $118,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-07 Sold (MLS) $118,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-05-01 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2021-04-28 Price Changed $118,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-04-27 Price Changed $124,500 Dayton MLS
- 2021-04-08 Listed $127,000 Dayton MLS
- 2015-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 2015-07-20 Sold (MLS) $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-20 Sold (MLS) $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-16 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2012-12-31 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2010-01-27 Listed $69,900 Dayton MLS
- 2002-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,278 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…