6 Northwest Dr · Carolina Shores, NC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice Affordable Home In Golf Community Carolinashores. Privacy Side Fence. Amenities Includetennis & Comm. Pool
Key facts
- Pavilion
- Hvac
- Flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $350; Community amenities include pool, clubhouse, party room, meeting room, game room, basketball court, tennis courts, and sport court
Exterior
- Parking: Attached paved garage (1 car); 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick veneer, vinyl siding, and frame construction; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Shingle roof; Property has a view; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Vaulted ceilings; Tray ceilings; Entrance foyer; Ceiling fans; Skylights
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($647/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Carolina Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#352 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jessie Mae Monroe Elementary (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 394 students, 99% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 703 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $265k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.87%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,890
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sage Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-2%) | 9mo | $151,276 | $117 | 72 |
| 513 Crooked Pine Pl SW | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (+0%) | 1mo | $226,000 | $172 | 65 |
| 441 Maplewood Dr NW | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-3%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $220 | 62 |
| 25 Gate 6 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+3%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $210 | 59 |
| 7 Gate 11 SW | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,122 (-15%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $236 | 56 |
| 15 Court 11 Northwest Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+9%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 11 Court 11 Northwest Dr NW | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+10%) | 6mo | $291,938 | $201 | 51 |
| 122 Calabash Rd NW | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,489 (+13%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $201 | 51 |
| 156 Calabash Rd NW | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,471 (+12%) | 16mo | $344,000 | $234 | 48 |
| 3 Sunrise Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,433 (+9%) | 13mo | $295,000 | $206 | 46 |
| 13 Calabash Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,256 (-4%) | 8mo | $266,000 | $212 | 46 |
| 528 Leeward Way | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (-7%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $205 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-39,598
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-30,424
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28467
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Active inventory
- 703
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $204 | -5% $129 | +0% $54 | +5% $-21 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-115 | -5% $-30 | +0% $54 | +5% $138 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $121 | base $54 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1035 Brightwater Way Calabash, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1327 | $2,145 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2033 Wild Indigo CIR NW Calabash, NC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1457 | $1,775 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1016 Harbor Dr Calabash, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,400 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3021 Siskin Dr NW Calabash, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1557 | $2,279 | $1.46 | 15d | 46 | 1.16mi |
| 31 Quaker Ridge Dr Calabash, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,292 | $1.62 | 23d | 51 | 1.17mi |
| 1063 Harbor Dr Calabash, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 660 Aubrey Ln Calabash, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $2,870 | $2.65 | 15d | 69 | 1.24mi |
| 891 Mh Marina Rd #3 Carolina Shores, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 834 Greenwood Ct Calabash, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1204 Calabash Station Blvd NW Ocean Isle Beach, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1420 Sherman Dr Calabash, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $770 | $0.76 | 15d | 3 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $265,000 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $275,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-26$275,000 Active
-
2006-02-14soldstatus $155,000
-
2006-02-13soldstatus $155,000 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Nice Affordable Home In Golf Community Carolinashores. Privacy Side Fence. Amenities Includetennis & Comm. Pool
-
2006-01-13soldstatus $190,000 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Original owner, lovingly cared for 3 BDRM-2BA home in Carolina Shores. Fireplace in the living room, along with a formal dining room, Carolina Room and a "Sun Room" off of the eat-in kitchen. There is a double car garage. Close to golf, beaches and shopping.
-
2005-09-19$163,600 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Nice Affordable Home In Golf Community Carolinashores. Privacy Side Fence. Amenities Includetennis & Comm. Pool
-
2005-08-19$209,900 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Original owner, lovingly cared for 3 BDRM-2BA home in Carolina Shores. Fireplace in the living room, along with a formal dining room, Carolina Room and a "Sun Room" off of the eat-in kitchen. There is a double car garage. Close to golf, beaches and shopping.
-
2004-11-24soldstatus $102,600
-
2004-03-12$109,080
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,254 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,173 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- +$919/yr (+$77/mo · 73.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,633
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,254
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,051
- − Management
- −$2,051
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$3,949
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$948
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Carolina Shores
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #352
- US rank
- #13907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carolina Shores, NC
- County
- Brunswick County · 131,536 people
- City population
- 13,313
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,313
- Household income
- $75,341
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 81.0
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.90%
- Current HPI
- 133.7186
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+152.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $275,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-13 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-01-13 Sold (MLS) $190,000 CCAR
- 2005-09-19 Listed $163,600 Hive MLS
- 2005-08-19 Listed $209,900 CCAR
- 2004-11-24 Sold (MLS) $102,600 Hive MLS
- 2004-03-12 Listed $109,080 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,254 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…