3028 Western Ave #501 · Seattle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Cash flow +3.7/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy city living at its best in this sun-filled and peaceful top floor 1B/1B condo perfectly situated in vibrant Belltown. The open layout features a living room with a gas fireplace and bay windows overlooking the serene courtyard, an ideal spot to relax or entertain. The custom modern kitchen offers granite countertops, ample cabinets with built-in shelving, stainless steel appliances, and an eating bar with a beverage cooler. The spacious bedroom includes a large walk-in closet, while the full-size bathroom features a jetted soaking tub and heated tile floors for a touch of luxury. Additional highlights include an in-unit washer and dryer, no carpet throughout, and a designated parking
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Bay windows
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building name: Alexandria Condominiums; 79 units in community; Insulated windows; Jetted/soaking tub noted as a unit feature
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee ($556) covering common area maintenance, gas, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities: elevator, exercise room, game/rec room, rooftop deck, sauna, fire sprinklers
Exterior
- Parking: Common garage (56 parking spaces, 1 covered space)
- Security: Gated entry; Lobby entrance
- Utilities: Electric and natural gas service; Electric water heater
- Home design: Attached condominium; One-level condo unit; Unit on 5th floor; Main entry level
- Construction: Cement plank construction; Flat roof; Built in 1991; Multi-family structure, 5 stories
- Exterior features: Cement-plank exterior; Paved access with sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (gas); Walk-in closet; Blinds; Water heater in closet (electric)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-876 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (51.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (31.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (51.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 229 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($152k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.56%
- DSCR
- 0.44
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $366,046
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -18.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.81% appreciation · 0.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-81,394
- Equity at exit
- $74,853
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.64×
- Total profit
- $-137,327
- Equity at exit
- $80,907
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Seattle
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
ZIP-level market 98121
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,038 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,854/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$556
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-876
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3104 Western Ave #213 Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 506 | $2,000 | $3.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 107 1st Ave N Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 450 | $1,375 | $3.06 | 1d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3028 1st Ave Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 308 | $1,110 | $3.60 | 1d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 3028 1st Ave Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 794 | $1,402 | $1.77 | 44d | 5 | 0.07mi |
| 3016 1st Ave Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 387 | $1,449 | $3.74 | 1d | 3 | 0.08mi |
| 100 Denny Way Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $3,159 | $3.47 | 1d | 8 | 0.09mi |
| 105 Warren Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 767 | $1,809 | $2.36 | 1d | 5 | 0.09mi |
| 115 Warren Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $2,049 | $2.90 | 1d | 5 | 0.11mi |
| 159 Denny Way Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 696 | $2,900 | $4.16 | 1d | 3 | 0.11mi |
| 109 John St Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 532 | $1,795 | $3.37 | 1d | 4 | 0.12mi |
| 101 John St Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,650 | $1.95 | 1d | 4 | 0.12mi |
| 2929 1st Ave #721 Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 438 | $1,600 | $3.65 | 1d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2922 Western Ave Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 684 | $2,118 | $3.10 | 1d | 12 | 0.14mi |
| 2933 2nd Ave Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 429 | $1,375 | $3.21 | 1d | 3 | 0.14mi |
| 151 John St Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,995 | $3.28 | 1d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 215 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 389 | $1,745 | $4.48 | 1d | 4 | 0.16mi |
| 222 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $1,899 | $2.43 | 1d | 2 | 0.17mi |
| 2900 1st Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $2,629 | $3.59 | 1d | 3 | 0.17mi |
| 219 1st Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 452 | $1,750 | $3.87 | 1d | 2 | 0.17mi |
| 2911 2nd Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 603 | $1,795 | $2.98 | 1d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 229 1st Ave N Apt 200 Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,295 | $3.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 215 1st Ave W Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 625 | $2,260 | $3.62 | 1d | 7 | 0.19mi |
| 200 2nd Ave W Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 509 | $1,795 | $3.53 | 1d | 3 | 0.20mi |
| 19 W Thomas St Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,595 | $2.55 | 1d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 2801 1st Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,500 | $3.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2801 1st Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $2,500 | $3.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2800 Western Ave Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,629 | $3.02 | 1d | 6 | 0.22mi |
| 2801 Western Ave Seattle, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1409 | $2,753 | $1.95 | 1d | 22 | 0.23mi |
| 306 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $2,650 | $4.02 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 307 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,425 | $2.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 10 Clay St Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $2,895 | $4.63 | 1d | 2 | 0.23mi |
| 10 Clay St Seattle, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $1,975 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 300 1st Ave W Seattle, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,824 | $3.08 | 1d | 10 | 0.24mi |
| 81 Clay St Unit 774 Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 486 | $2,130 | $4.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 81 Clay St #526 Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $2,150 | $3.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2721 1st Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $2,022 | $3.28 | 44d | 3 | 0.24mi |
| 315 1st Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 571 | $2,428 | $4.25 | 1d | 11 | 0.24mi |
| 2716 Elliott Ave Seattle, WA | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,625 | $3.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 320 Queen Anne Ave N Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 576 | $2,940 | $5.10 | 1d | 5 | 0.25mi |
| 2721 1st Ave Seattle, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 657 | $2,150 | $3.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $556 · $6,672/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $299,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $303,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$303,000 Active
-
2025-03-05historical $1,540
-
2025-02-15price $1,540
-
2025-02-08price $1,650
-
2024-12-31$1,680
-
2023-06-16soldstatus $358,950
-
2023-06-15soldstatus $358,950 Closed
-
2023-05-17status Pending
-
2023-05-13price $349,950
-
2023-04-10$365,000 Active
-
2008-03-06soldstatus $277,000 Sold
-
2008-03-06soldstatus $277,000
-
2008-02-06historical
-
2008-01-18$277,000
-
2005-07-20soldstatus $182,000
-
1999-05-17soldstatus $142,000
-
1997-12-11soldstatus $110,000
-
1994-03-17soldstatus $91,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,854 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,930 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$76/yr (+$6/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,457
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$2,854
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − HOA
- −$6,672
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$15,924
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,822
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seattle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5307710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,695
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #19 of 291 in WA
Livability — Seattle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seattle, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 706,262
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,166
- Household income
- $152,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1835.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Asian 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Chinese 10% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.81%
- Current HPI
- 165.0124
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.05%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+228.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $299,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $303,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-05 Rental Removed $1,540 Avail
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $1,540 Avail
- 2025-02-08 Price Changed $1,650 Avail
- 2024-12-31 Listed for Rent $1,680 Avail
- 2023-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $358,950 Public Records
- 2023-06-15 Sold (MLS) $358,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-13 Price Changed $349,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-10 Listed $365,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $277,000 Public Records
- 2008-03-06 Sold (MLS) $277,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-06 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-18 Listed $277,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,854 · -12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…