17 Jade Dr Unit 17J · Winding Cypress, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Florida living at its finest! This fully furnished 1-bedroom, 1-bath BEACH HOUSE is located in a highly desirable 55+ community with Gulf-access boat ramp—a rare find at this price point. Step inside to an open layout featuring a bright living area with bay window, built-in storage, and a functional kitchen with ample cabinetry and skylight. The spacious sunroom with vaulted ceilings adds valuable living space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary bedroom offers built-in storage, while the home also includes a laundry area with washer/dryer and walk-in shower for convenience. Enjoy resort-style amenities including clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard, tennis, and
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Ample cabinetry
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Other
- Other: Approximate living area: 600; Total area: 600; Lot unit: 17-J; Lot described as regular on private/access road; Boat access with boat ramp, concrete dock, electricity and water available at dock; View: see remarks; Possession at closing; Development: Enchanting Shores
Finance
- Other: Part of a complex with 17 units; 1 unit in building; 1 floor
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee; HOA covers lawn/land maintenance and recreation facilities; On-site management; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, fitness center (attended), community boat dock/boat ramp/boat slip, community gulf boat access, BBQ/picnic area, billiards, bocce court, pickleball, shuffleboard, tennis court; Community types: Boating, Gated, Mobile/Manufactured, Tennis; One-time fee: $50; Total annual recurring fees: $2,000; Total one-time fees: $250
Exterior
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured residential property; Built in 1984; Rear faces west; Single-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Built-up/flat roof; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Courtyard; See remarks for windows
Interior
- Kitchen: Freezer included
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom plus den
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Master bath with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Wall heating/cooling units; Window heating/cooling units
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Closet cabinets; See remarks; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 900 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.79%
- DSCR
- 2.95
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.48% appreciation · 3.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $17,674
- Equity at exit
- $17,372
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $55,064
- Equity at exit
- $16,734
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34114
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 900
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$167
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 Rookery Bay Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,525 | $1.64 | 23d | 9 | 0.75mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $167 · $2,004/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-07$79,500 Active 43 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$5,516
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − HOA
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $4,026
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully furnished 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Replace curtains — Freshens up the interior and adds value
- Both Update flooring — Modernizes the space and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace curtains — Freshens up the interior and adds value ↑
- Both Update flooring — Modernizes the space and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Winding Cypress
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,559
- Household income
- $89,334
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 550.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.48%
- Current HPI
- 266.5545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $79,500 BEARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…