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277 Waters Edge Ln
D Composite 41.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$190,000

277 Waters Edge Ln · Madison, AL 35758
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,055 sqft · Condo public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1988 $180/sqft · 7% below area Est $206k · 8% under $197/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful Remodeled Condo! Open Floorplan. Large Great Room with Cathedral Ceiling Which Adds Spaciousness and A Fireplace. Palladium Window Overlooks Pool. Kitchen has Quartz Countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances and Ceramic Backsplash. Two Bedrooms. Two Full Baths with New Bathfitter Shower and Bath with Lifetime Warranty. Smooth Ceilings Throughout. Neutral Paint. LVP Flooring. New Light Fixtures. New Hot Water Heater. HVAC - 2021. Prime location at Old Madison Pike & Hughes Rd. Close to Restaurants, Shopping, Dublin Park, Research Park and Toyota Field. Enjoy Swimming in the Pool, Games in the Club House or Just Relax By the Lake. Ready To Move In!

Key facts

  • $197 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1988

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community features include curbs; Subdivision: Madison Towne Centre
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee; Association amenities include common grounds and pool; HOA fee covers building maintenance, insurance, trash, and grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Built in 1988; Single-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Curb and gutters; Sidewalk; Near park; Private pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (48.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (34.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (48.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Midtown Elementary School (math 49% / reading 78%, grade B, #46 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 999 students, 26% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,833 (48.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
3.00%
Cash-on-cash
-11.77%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$206,057
List price
$190,000
Delta
-7.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$68,633
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$225,159
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,790/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$197
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$-522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,905
Max offer price $97,833
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-414 -5% $-468 +0% $-522 +5% $-576 +10% $-629
Rent -10% $-620 -5% $-571 +0% $-522 +5% $-473 +10% $-423
Rate -1.0pp $-426 -0.5pp $-473 base $-522 +0.5pp $-571 +1.0pp $-621

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
262 Waters Edge Ln Unit 262 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,175 $1.11 45d 1 0.03mi
349 Waters Edge Ln Unit n/a Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,050 $1.00 45d 1 0.04mi
210 Waters Edge Ln #6 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,075 $1.01 45d 1 0.07mi
104 Waters Edge Ln Unit 104 Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 775 $1,000 $1.29 15d 1 0.10mi
712 Marion Dr Madison, AL 3.0 1.0 1253 $1,450 $1.16 45d 1 0.18mi
200 Millstone Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $2,000 $1.40 45d 1 0.19mi
416 Walton Rd Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,795 $1.37 15d 1 0.36mi
510 Clift Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,600 $1.34 45d 1 0.48mi
180 Hughes Rd Madison, AL 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.5 1373 $1,824 $1.33 15d 45 0.53mi
1105 Woodbine Rd Madison, AL 3.0 1.5 1254 $1,500 $1.20 25d 1 0.77mi
425 Falls PT SW Unit 1 Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1375 $1,615 $1.17 45d 1 0.80mi
90 High St Unit 100A Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 45d 1 1.02mi
104 Westscott Dr Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 975 $995 $1.02 45d 1 1.17mi
7900 Old Madison Pike Madison, AL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1313 $1,164 $0.89 15d 11 1.18mi
111 Westscott Dr Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 975 $995 $1.02 45d 1 1.19mi
403 Oakland Rd Madison, AL 2.0 2.5 1165 $1,295 $1.11 45d 1 1.20mi
124 Westscott Dr Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 994 $1,025 $1.03 23d 1 1.22mi
100 Michael Ave Unit 100 Micheal A Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 45d 1 1.26mi
127 Philadelphia Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,650 $1.18 25d 1 1.27mi
7584 Madison Pike Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $1,118 $1.09 15d 17 1.30mi
109 Michael Ave Unit 106B Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 45d 1 1.33mi
109 Michael Ave Unit 112D Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 25d 1 1.33mi
124 Michael Ave Unit B Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 808 $925 $1.14 25d 1 1.37mi
194 Shelton Rd Madison, AL 2.0 1.0–2.0 729 $1,149 $1.58 15d 9 1.37mi
104 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 15d 1 1.38mi
104 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 25d 1 1.38mi
104 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 45d 1 1.38mi
116 Michael Ave Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 808 $950 $1.18 45d 1 1.39mi
120 Michael Ave Unit B Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 840 $925 $1.10 25d 1 1.39mi
106 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 45d 1 1.39mi
85 Shorter St Madison, AL 3.0 1.0–3.0 1182 $1,532 $1.30 45d 13 1.40mi
108 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 45d 1 1.41mi
2300 Colonial Lake Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $1,186 $1.09 15d 39 1.41mi
110 Village Ln Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 960 $995 $1.04 45d 1 1.42mi
2002 Flagstone Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $1,247 $1.28 15d 77 1.43mi
5142 Wall Triana Hwy Madison, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,025 $1.02 45d 2 1.44mi
100 Carmine Cir Unit 100D Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,199 $1.41 25d 1 1.48mi
100 Carmine Cir Unit 101D Madison, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,199 $1.41 45d 1 1.48mi
1110 Liberty Dr Unit 1110 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 25d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$197 · $2,364/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $190,000 Active 674-char remark
  17. 2025-04-04
    listed $199,900 Active
  18. 2022-06-01
    soldstatus $170,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,790 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,790 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,937
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,790
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− HOA
−$2,364
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$9,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,335
After-tax cash flow
$-3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $190,000 VMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Listed $199,900 VMLS
  • 2022-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $170,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,790 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…