16141 3rd St · Eustis, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
" Short Sale". This could be a winter home for snowbirds. 2/1 home, fenced yard, carport, inside utility room, screened porch, newer A/C unit. Sold "As Is".
Key facts
- New kitchen
- New toilets
- New septic system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-7; Residential single family property; Living area about 1,054 (public records); Total building area about 1,454 (public records)
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Other roof materials; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 75 x 140)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room and dining room combined; Stone countertops; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $180k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.83%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $470,084
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16146 Wallace St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+5%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $149 | 74 |
| 15816 Mullins Blvd | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-15%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $446 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $15,845
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $71,746
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32784
- Home prices YoY
- -8.5%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $808 | -5% $757 | +0% $706 | +5% $656 | +10% $605 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $517 | -5% $612 | +0% $706 | +5% $801 | +10% $896 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $797 | -0.5pp $752 | base $706 | +0.5pp $660 | +1.0pp $612 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2486 Hallow Garden Rd Eustis, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,400 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 521-char remark
-
2026-06-07$179,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,054 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,054 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,054
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,304
- − Management
- −$2,304
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $5,927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,423
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Eustis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #5286
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 24,715
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,859
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.66%
- Current HPI
- 352.4197
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+799.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-03 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-09 Listed $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-17 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-06 Listed $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-02 Listed $83,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-04-16 Sold (MLS) $51,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-29 Listed $56,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,054 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…