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16141 3rd St
B- Composite 68.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

16141 3rd St · Eustis, FL 32784
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1925 10,096 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

" Short Sale". This could be a winter home for snowbirds. 2/1 home, fenced yard, carport, inside utility room, screened porch, newer A/C unit. Sold "As Is".

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New toilets
  • New septic system

Tags

NEW KITCHENSHAKER CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSNEW VANITIESNEW TOILETSNEW SEPTIC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-7; Residential single family property; Living area about 1,054 (public records); Total building area about 1,454 (public records)
  • HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Other roof materials; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 75 x 140)
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room and dining room combined; Stone countertops; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $180k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.01%
Cash-on-cash
16.83%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$470,084
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16146 Wallace St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+5%) 17mo $165,000 $149 74
15816 Mullins Blvd 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 897 (-15%) 1mo $400,000 $446 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$15,845
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$71,746
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32784

Home prices YoY
-8.5%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,506
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $808 -5% $757 +0% $706 +5% $656 +10% $605
Rent -10% $517 -5% $612 +0% $706 +5% $801 +10% $896
Rate -1.0pp $797 -0.5pp $752 base $706 +0.5pp $660 +1.0pp $612

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2486 Hallow Garden Rd Eustis, FL 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,400 $1.68 4d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $179,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 521-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $179,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,054 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,054 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,800
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,054
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,304
− Management
−$2,304
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$5,927
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,423
After-tax cash flow
$7,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Eustis

Score
73/100
State rank
#309
US rank
#5286

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
24,715
Population (ZIP)
9,859

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.66%
Current HPI
352.4197
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+799.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-03 Sold (MLS) $24,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-09 Listed $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-17 Sold (MLS) $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-06 Listed $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-02 Listed $83,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-16 Sold (MLS) $51,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-11-29 Listed $56,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,054 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…