1340 Maple Rd #8 · Williamsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is your chance to own this beautiful updated Upper condo unit in the desired Oakbrook community. This condo is move in ready with new carpet throughout unit, fresh neutral paint, new bathroom vanities and flooring, updated kitchen with painted cabinets and new floor and sink. 2 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of closet space including a large walk-in closet in the main bedroom. Possibility to add laundry to large closet in hallway (with HOA approval). Enjoy the community tennis courts, pool and clubhouse. Great Location near shopping, hospital, and parks. Williamsville schools. Must see! Don't miss out! Sorry, no pets and no rentals.
Key facts
- New carpet
- Community pool
- Community clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#44 in NY, #693 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+.
- Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.49%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,571
- List price
- $187,900
- Delta
- 0.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-15,712
- Equity at exit
- $28,017
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $20,149
- Equity at exit
- $16,246
Cash invested: $52,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14221
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,295 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$985
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$408
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $259 | -5% $206 | +0% $153 | +5% $100 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $62 | +0% $153 | +5% $244 | +10% $334 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $248 | -0.5pp $201 | base $153 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,975
- Closing costs
- $5,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Segsbury Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,950 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 540 Mill St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,095 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 990 Hopkins Rd Unit G Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1325 N Forest Rd Buffalo, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,748 | $2.01 | 2d | 9 | 1.09mi |
| 23 Northwood Dr Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,145 | $2.68 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 255 Evans St Williamsville, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 2d | 13 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $408 · $4,896/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Here is your chance to own this beautiful updated Upper condo unit in the desired Oakbrook community. This condo is move in ready with new carpet throughout unit, fresh neutral paint, new bathroom vanities and flooring, updated kitchen with painted cabinets and new floor and sink. 2 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of closet space including a large walk-in closet in the main bedroom. Possibility to add laundry to large closet in hallway (with HOA approval). Enjoy the community tennis courts, pool and clubhouse. Great Location near shopping, hospital, and parks. Williamsville schools. Must see! Don't miss out! Sorry, no pets and no rentals.
-
2026-04-27price $187,900 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Here is your chance to own this beautiful updated Upper condo unit in the desired Oakbrook community. This condo is move in ready with new carpet throughout unit, fresh neutral paint, new bathroom vanities and flooring, updated kitchen with painted cabinets and new floor and sink. 2 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of closet space including a large walk-in closet in the main bedroom. Possibility to add laundry to large closet in hallway (with HOA approval). Enjoy the community tennis courts, pool and clubhouse. Great Location near shopping, hospital, and parks. Williamsville schools. Must see! Don't miss out! Sorry, no pets and no rentals.
-
2026-03-27price $189,900 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Here is your chance to own this beautiful updated Upper condo unit in the desired Oakbrook community. This condo is move in ready with new carpet throughout unit, fresh neutral paint, new bathroom vanities and flooring, updated kitchen with painted cabinets and new floor and sink. 2 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of closet space including a large walk-in closet in the main bedroom. Possibility to add laundry to large closet in hallway (with HOA approval). Enjoy the community tennis courts, pool and clubhouse. Great Location near shopping, hospital, and parks. Williamsville schools. Must see! Don't miss out! Sorry, no pets and no rentals.
-
2026-03-21$192,900 Active 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Here is your chance to own this beautiful updated Upper condo unit in the desired Oakbrook community. This condo is move in ready with new carpet throughout unit, fresh neutral paint, new bathroom vanities and flooring, updated kitchen with painted cabinets and new floor and sink. 2 large bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and plenty of closet space including a large walk-in closet in the main bedroom. Possibility to add laundry to large closet in hallway (with HOA approval). Enjoy the community tennis courts, pool and clubhouse. Great Location near shopping, hospital, and parks. Williamsville schools. Must see! Don't miss out! Sorry, no pets and no rentals.
-
2022-07-01soldstatus $160,000
-
2017-12-29soldstatus $97,000 Closed Sale or Rented 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
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2017-12-20soldstatus $97,000
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2017-11-17status Pending Sale 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
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2017-11-15status Under Contract- Do Not Show 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
-
2017-10-28price $99,900 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
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2017-10-27price $102,900 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
-
2017-10-06status Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
-
2017-10-02status Under Contract- Do Not Show 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
-
2017-09-19$109,900 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM/1.5 BATH 2ND FLOOR OAKBROOK CONDO IN EXCELENT CONDITION-NEW WINDOWS 2015-NEW CARPETING IN 2015-2 WALK IN CLOSETS-UPDATED FURNACE AND A/C-THERE IS A HUGE CLOSET THAT CAN BE CHANGED TO A FIRST FLOOR IN UNIT LAUNDRY --VERY NICE COMMUNITY INGROUND POOL /TENNIS COURTS AND CLUB HOUSE TO USE-SHOWS EXCELLENT!
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2003-10-14soldstatus $64,200
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1994-10-27soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,256 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,716 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,525
- − Property taxes
- −$2,256
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,203
- − Management
- −$2,203
- − HOA
- −$4,896
- − Depreciation
- −$5,466
- Taxable loss
- −$954
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$229
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,065/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631470
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,907
- Composite
- 62.59/100
- National rank
- #678
- State rank
- #114 of 590 in NY
Livability — Williamsville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,255
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,255
- Household income
- $101,615
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1956.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Asian 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -301.37%
- Current HPI
- 322.6947
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.01%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+189.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $187,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $192,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-29 Sold (MLS) $97,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-17 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-11-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-10-28 Price Changed $99,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-10-27 Price Changed $102,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-10-06 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2017-10-02 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-09-19 Listed $109,900 WNYREIS
- 2003-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,200 Public Records
- 1994-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,256 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…