253 S Church St Ext · Duncan, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
UNDER CONSTRUCTION SECOND FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM | OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT Don’t miss this opportunity to own a BEAUTIFUL NEW 2-story home in the Duncan Woods community! The elegant 2001 plan offers separate common areas from private living spaces. The kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances (Includes: range, microwave hood, and dishwasher). One bedroom on the main floor. All other bedrooms, including the laundry room, are on the 2nd floor. The primary suite has a private bathroom with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. Highlights also include a large loft space. This desirable plan also comes complete with a 1-car garage.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 59 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Property is in a homeowners association; HOA enforces restrictive covenants
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Electric water heater; Public sewer; Electric power; No garbage pickup listed
- Home design: Two-story residential home; Approximately 1–5 years old; Slab foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Lot slopes gently; Lot is 1/2 acre or less
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 16; Built-in microwave; Pantry closet
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom features include double sink, full bath, tub/shower; primary on 2nd level; Main level has 1 bedroom; Primary bedroom approximately 17 x 13; Other bedrooms approximately 11 x 11
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate flooring; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms total; One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Cable available; Smooth ceilings; Walk-in closet; Pantry closet; Countertops (other); Loft
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on 2nd floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($121/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in Duncan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities D-.
- Spartanburg 05 (suburban): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #13 of 80 in SC (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Duncan Elementary School of The Arts (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #362 of 597 statewide, top 61%, 689 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 39% district-wide (61 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Spartanburg 05 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $213k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.16%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,629
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 S Church St | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 1,971 (+3%) | 3mo | $328,000 | $166 | 83 |
| 498 Barton St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,938 (+1%) | 17mo | $305,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 119 S Church St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,956 (+2%) | 20mo | $235,250 | $120 | 59 |
| 743 Cannonsburg Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 1,815 (-5%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 282 Christopher St | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,655 (-13%) | 15mo | $227,500 | $137 | 51 |
| 129 E Main St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,012 (+5%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 476 Barton St | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,647 (-14%) | 13mo | $224,900 | $137 | 48 |
| 166 Duncanwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 1,759 (-8%) | 8mo | $244,900 | $139 | 44 |
| 160 Duncanwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 1,710 (-10%) | 6mo | $242,990 | $142 | 41 |
| 106 S Spencer St | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,981 (+4%) | 18mo | $366,250 | $185 | 41 |
| 115 S Church St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-11%) | 22mo | $235,000 | $138 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-47,212
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-53,465
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29334
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,207 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,921/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $88 | +0% $10 | +5% $-68 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $-77 | +0% $10 | +5% $97 | +10% $184 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $80 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-61 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262 Christopher Street Ext Duncan, SC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2010 | $2,045 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 266 Christopher Street Ext Duncan, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $1,825 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 527 Nova Ln Duncan, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,645 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $274,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $274,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $274,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $274,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$274,900 Active
-
2022-03-23soldstatus $213,490 Sold 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION SECOND FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM | OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT Don’t miss this opportunity to own a BEAUTIFUL NEW 2-story home in the Duncan Woods community! The elegant 2001 plan offers separate common areas from private living spaces. The kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances (Includes: range, microwave hood, and dishwasher). One bedroom on the main floor. All other bedrooms, including the laundry room, are on the 2nd floor. The primary suite has a private bathroom with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. Highlights also include a large loft space. This desirable plan also comes complete with a 1-car garage.
-
2021-11-10status Pending 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION SECOND FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM | OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT Don’t miss this opportunity to own a BEAUTIFUL NEW 2-story home in the Duncan Woods community! The elegant 2001 plan offers separate common areas from private living spaces. The kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances (Includes: range, microwave hood, and dishwasher). One bedroom on the main floor. All other bedrooms, including the laundry room, are on the 2nd floor. The primary suite has a private bathroom with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. Highlights also include a large loft space. This desirable plan also comes complete with a 1-car garage.
-
2021-10-29$213,490 Active 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION SECOND FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM | OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUT Don’t miss this opportunity to own a BEAUTIFUL NEW 2-story home in the Duncan Woods community! The elegant 2001 plan offers separate common areas from private living spaces. The kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances (Includes: range, microwave hood, and dishwasher). One bedroom on the main floor. All other bedrooms, including the laundry room, are on the 2nd floor. The primary suite has a private bathroom with dual vanity sinks and a walk-in closet. Highlights also include a large loft space. This desirable plan also comes complete with a 1-car garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,921 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,921 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$1,921
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,118
- − Management
- −$2,118
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$4,652
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,116
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 2022-built home is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern features. Minor updates to exterior and landscaping would further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Landscaping front yard — Improves curb appeal
- Both Replace old light fixtures — Modernizes and improves energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Landscaping front yard — Improves curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace old light fixtures — Modernizes and improves energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spartanburg 05
- NCES district ID
- 4503600
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,127
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #3512
- State rank
- #13 of 80 in SC
Livability — Duncan
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #9099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duncan, SC
- County
- Spartanburg County · 258,607 people
- City population
- 18,575
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,575
- Household income
- $81,413
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 300.0
Population outlook (Spartanburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 325,495 people
- By 2030
- 338,800 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 363,471 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 384,156 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 430,137 · +32.1%
- By 2100
- 442,733 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spartanburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.74%
- Current HPI
- 230.2483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.52%
- Metro
- Spartanburg, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+28.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $274,900 Greater Greenville MLS
- 2022-03-23 Sold (MLS) $213,490 Greater Greenville MLS
- 2021-11-10 Pending — Greater Greenville MLS
- 2021-10-29 Listed $213,490 Greater Greenville MLS
Property tax history
+81.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,921 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…