🏗️ New Construction
Huntington Plan · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
55+ age qualified community. DBA: Decal: CAV220CA2542897A/B Dealer Number: 91126.COMING SOON! Currently under construction. Welcome to Royal Holiday, a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community located in Hemet, CA where your dream home is coming to life. We are excited to offer a 2026 brand new, beautiful 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale. Featuring approximately 1290.24 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. This soon-to-be-completed property will offer the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. Construction is underway, and soon you'll be able to step inside and experience an open-concept floor plan, high ceilings and natural light and a utility with space for a washer and dryer. The spacious kitchen will be beautifully designed with a kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, plenty of custom cabinetry ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The ensuite master bedroom will serve as a relaxing retreat, complete with dual vanities, walk in shower and walk-in closet. There also is two additional bedrooms that will provide flexibility for guests or a home office and a full size extra bathroom. Outside the home includes a front covered porch, low-maintenance landscaping and a awning covered driveway. Residents can enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including a swimming pool, 2 jacuzzis, sauna, fitness center, clubhouse with a full kitchen, library, billiards room, shuffleboard, horseshoes, carwash and a beautiful dog park. This prop
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Dual vanities
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.0% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cawston Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 835 students, 81% FRL); Rancho Viejo Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 975 students, 88% FRL); Tahquitz High (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #777 of 1,170 statewide, top 67%, 1,727 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 66% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 88.28%
- DSCR
- 4.93
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,000
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 154.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5001 W Florida Ave #122 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-1%) | 0mo | $52,500 | $41 | 70 |
| 5001 W Florida #618 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+3%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave W #728 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+3%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $42 | 62 |
| 5001 W Florida #695 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 5001 W Florida #171 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $47 | 52 |
| 5001 FLORIDA #311 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 1mo | $73,990 | $51 | 52 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #305 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 2mo | $91,000 | $63 | 51 |
| 5001 W Florida #661 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $67 | 51 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #482 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+10%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $38 | 50 |
| 5001 W Florida #524 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+14%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $42 | 44 |
| 5001 W Florida #476 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $40 | 44 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #135 | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+15%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $37 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $69,414
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 92.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.09×
- Total profit
- $166,657
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,054 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $1,215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,256 | -5% $1,236 | +0% $1,215 | +5% $1,195 | +10% $1,175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,053 | -5% $1,134 | +0% $1,215 | +5% $1,296 | +10% $1,378 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,245 | -0.5pp $1,230 | base $1,215 | +0.5pp $1,200 | +1.0pp $1,184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,335 | $2.86 | 0d | 7 | 0.57mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,780 | $2.20 | 0d | 8 | 0.92mi |
| 2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,945 | $2.75 | 0d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 3080 Hampton Ave Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,695 | $1.74 | 9d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2971 Pembroke Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $3,000 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,750 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,995 | $2.19 | 9d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,475 | $2.77 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-25$149,900 Active 1498-char remark
Show marketing remark (1498 chars)
55+ age qualified community. DBA: Decal: CAV220CA2542897A/B Dealer Number: 91126.COMING SOON! Currently under construction. Welcome to Royal Holiday, a 55+ age-qualified active and vibrant community located in Hemet, CA where your dream home is coming to life. We are excited to offer a 2026 brand new, beautiful 3 bed, 2 bath home for sale. Featuring approximately 1290.24 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space. This soon-to-be-completed property will offer the perfect blend of modern design and timeless comfort. Construction is underway, and soon you'll be able to step inside and experience an open-concept floor plan, high ceilings and natural light and a utility with space for a washer and dryer. The spacious kitchen will be beautifully designed with a kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, plenty of custom cabinetry ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The ensuite master bedroom will serve as a relaxing retreat, complete with dual vanities, walk in shower and walk-in closet. There also is two additional bedrooms that will provide flexibility for guests or a home office and a full size extra bathroom. Outside the home includes a front covered porch, low-maintenance landscaping and a awning covered driveway. Residents can enjoy access to a variety of premium amenities, including a swimming pool, 2 jacuzzis, sauna, fitness center, clubhouse with a full kitchen, library, billiards room, shuffleboard, horseshoes, carwash and a beautiful dog park. This prop
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,972
- − Management
- −$1,972
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $14,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,482
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 55+ age-qualified community home is move-in ready with a modern design and ample space, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look newer and more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look newer and more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $149,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…