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153 Locust St
B Composite 70.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

153 Locust St · Ambridge, PA 15003
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,637 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1923 4,356 sqft lot $64/sqft · 12% below area Est $119k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your hammer and toolbelt! Need space? Here it is. Brick home in Ambridge that is perfect for someone needing room. This 3 bedroom/1.5 bathroom has the potential to be 5 bedrooms because there are 2 finished rooms on the 3rd floor. The livingroom and diningroom provide plenty of room for entertaining. The 1st floor laundry room is directly off the kitchen for convenience. There is also a powder room on the first floor. The 3 bedrooms are located on the 2nd floor as well as the full bath. In the rear of the home is a patio area that overlooks the large backyard.

Key facts

  • Finished rooms
  • Patio area
  • Large backyard

Tags

BRICK HOMEFINISHED ROOMS1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMPATIO AREALARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.6% in Ambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#293 in PA, #2,594 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.80%
Cash-on-cash
12.54%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,839
List price
$105,000
Delta
-11.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 Locust St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,650 (+1%) 2mo $82,500 $50 89
325 Elm Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,656 (+1%) 11mo $65,000 $39 73
4 Glenwood Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,782 (+9%) 7mo $185,000 $104 72
403 Virginia Ave 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,608 (-2%) 9mo $179,900 $112 64
314 Pine St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,459 (-11%) 2mo $115,900 $79 62
346 Pine St 0.28mi 4/2.5 1,767 (+8%) 11mo $159,000 $90 61
551 Glenwood Ave 0.44mi 4/1.0 1,490 (-9%) 11mo $94,000 $63 54
724 Ridge Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,623 (-1%) 7mo $190,000 $117 52
421 Maplewood Ave 0.29mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,440 (-12%) 12mo $120,000 $83 45
900 Beaver Rd 0.71mi 4/3.0 1,792 (+10%) 7mo $210,000 $117 40
827 Beaver Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,438 (-12%) 10mo $117,500 $82 38
347 Washington St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,416 (-14%) 1mo $168,000 $119 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$2,627
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$27,780
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15003

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,570/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,023
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $367 -5% $337 +0% $307 +5% $278 +10% $248
Rent -10% $196 -5% $251 +0% $307 +5% $363 +10% $419
Rate -1.0pp $360 -0.5pp $334 base $307 +0.5pp $280 +1.0pp $252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
266 Beaver St Leetsdale, PA 3.0 1.0 1766 $1,350 $0.76 2d 1 0.98mi
1700 Beaver Rd Ambridge, PA 3.0 1.0 1099 $1,495 $1.36 17d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-03
    price $110,000 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Bring your hammer and toolbelt! Need space? Here it is. Brick home in Ambridge that is perfect for someone needing room. This 3 bedroom/1.5 bathroom has the potential to be 5 bedrooms because there are 2 finished rooms on the 3rd floor. The livingroom and diningroom provide plenty of room for entertaining. The 1st floor laundry room is directly off the kitchen for convenience. There is also a powder room on the first floor. The 3 bedrooms are located on the 2nd floor as well as the full bath. In the rear of the home is a patio area that overlooks the large backyard.

  15. 2026-04-12
    listed $120,000 Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Bring your hammer and toolbelt! Need space? Here it is. Brick home in Ambridge that is perfect for someone needing room. This 3 bedroom/1.5 bathroom has the potential to be 5 bedrooms because there are 2 finished rooms on the 3rd floor. The livingroom and diningroom provide plenty of room for entertaining. The 1st floor laundry room is directly off the kitchen for convenience. There is also a powder room on the first floor. The 3 bedrooms are located on the 2nd floor as well as the full bath. In the rear of the home is a patio area that overlooks the large backyard.

  16. 2023-12-19
    soldstatus $90,000 Closed 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  17. 2023-12-18
    status Pending 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  18. 2023-10-17
    historical Contingent 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  19. 2023-08-01
    price $99,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  20. 2023-07-24
    price $110,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  21. 2023-07-14
    price $120,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  22. 2023-06-05
    listed $129,000 Active 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom house in Ambridge. Fully renovated in the last 8 years. First floor offers nice sized living room, dining room, beautiful kitchen with all appliances, laundry room off of kitchen with washer and dryer and half bath. Second floor has 3 bedrooms with full bath. Bedrooms have great closet space. Third floor is attic that is great for storage. Full basement and great back yard. Sold AS-IS.

  23. 2022-09-13
    price $115,000
  24. 2022-09-03
    price $120,000
  25. 2022-08-07
    listed $125,000 Active
  26. 2015-02-20
    price $17,000
  27. 2015-02-20
    price $24,900
  28. 2015-02-20
    soldstatus $17,000
  29. 2014-05-16
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,570 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,570 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,949
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,570
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$529
After-tax cash flow
$3,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ambridge Area SD
NCES district ID
4202440
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,514
Composite
30.62/100
National rank
#6190
State rank
#408 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ambridge

Score
78/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#2594

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ambridge, PA
County
Beaver County · 116,001 people
City population
11,387
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,387
Household income
$59,550
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
397.0

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.42%
Current HPI
249.8525
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+341.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $120,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-12-19 Sold (MLS) $90,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-12-18 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2023-10-17 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2023-08-01 Price Changed $99,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-07-24 Price Changed $110,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-07-14 Price Changed $120,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-06-05 Listed $129,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-09-13 Price Changed $115,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-09-03 Price Changed $120,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2022-08-07 Listed $125,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-02-20 Price Changed $17,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) $17,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2015-02-20 Price Changed $24,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-05-16 Listed $24,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,570 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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