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764 Heck Ave
B- Composite 66.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

764 Heck Ave · Dayton, OH 45417
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1920 4,421 sqft lot $82/sqft · 103% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this charming 3-Bedroom, 1-Bath home featuring a beautifully updated kitchen with stylish cabinetry and a renovated bath showcasing elegant travertine tile and a 2-car garage equipped with an electric vehicle charger--perfect for modern living. Extensive mechanical and structural improvements provide long-term value and peace of mind, including fully updated plumbing with 1/2 inch cooper lines, removal of knob-and-tube wiring with updated electrical, roof, and HVAC systems installed in 2014, and enhanced insulation in both attic and walls for improved energy efficiency. Room sizes are approximate; buyers are responsible for verification.

Key facts

  • 4,421 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.74%
Cash-on-cash
15.88%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,684
List price
$105,000
Delta
103.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
350 Smith St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,230 (-4%) 2mo $76,500 $62 68
704 Maitland Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,344 (+5%) 14mo $137,000 $102 65
1253 S Broadway St 0.40mi 3/3.0 1,236 (-3%) 13mo $115,000 $93 57
420 Bolander Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,438 (+13%) 0mo $35,860 $25 55
218 Smith St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-9%) 1mo $150,000 $129 50
1331 Swisher Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-10%) 17mo $81,000 $71 47
453 Harriet St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-6%) 20mo $130,000 $108 47
374 Bolander Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,165 (-9%) 16mo $54,000 $46 42
1410 Steiner Ave 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,154 (-10%) 10mo $114,000 $99 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$9,246
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$46,155
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
429 Bolander Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 2.5 1468 $1,695 $1.15 43d 1 0.53mi
429 Bolander Ave Unit 431 Dayton, OH 4.0 2.5 1468 $1,695 $1.15 3d 1 0.53mi
1515 W Stewart St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 925 $1,000 $1.08 43d 1 0.71mi
47 Leroy St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1456 $1,200 $0.82 43d 1 0.98mi
1272 Clement Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,350 $1.32 2d 1 0.99mi
1266 Lytle Ln Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0–2.5 1250 $1,295 $1.04 2d 1 1.17mi
127 Mound St Dayton, OH 3.0 3.0 1726 $1,600 $0.93 14d 1 1.17mi
310 Old River Trl Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0–2.5 1231 $2,440 $1.98 2d 3 1.20mi
652 Dennison Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 988 $1,095 $1.11 21d 1 1.25mi
2240 Lakeview Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,025 $0.97 43d 1 1.26mi
23 Jasper St Dayton, OH 4.0 4.0 1490 $3,600 $2.42 3d 1 1.26mi
2358 S Patterson Blvd Unit 6 Kettering, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 23d 1 1.37mi
2366 S Patterson Blvd Unit 5 Kettering, OH 2.0 1.0 975 $975 $1.00 23d 1 1.41mi
2366 S Patterson Blvd Unit 11 Kettering, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 23d 1 1.41mi
623 Clifton Dr Apt A Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 2d 1 1.41mi
623 Clifton Dr Apt B Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,174 $0.98 3d 1 1.41mi
42 S Mathison St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,220 $0.94 3d 1 1.45mi
40 S Mathison St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 14d 1 1.45mi
See individual Unit addresses Dayton, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 928 $2,297 $2.48 43d 10 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 63 DOM
  16. 2026-03-29
    listed $105,000 Active 654-char remark
    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    Discover this charming 3-Bedroom, 1-Bath home featuring a beautifully updated kitchen with stylish cabinetry and a renovated bath showcasing elegant travertine tile and a 2-car garage equipped with an electric vehicle charger--perfect for modern living. Extensive mechanical and structural improvements provide long-term value and peace of mind, including fully updated plumbing with 1/2 inch cooper lines, removal of knob-and-tube wiring with updated electrical, roof, and HVAC systems installed in 2014, and enhanced insulation in both attic and walls for improved energy efficiency. Room sizes are approximate; buyers are responsible for verification.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,177 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,407 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$231/yr (+$19/mo · 19.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,429
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,177
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,314
− Management
−$1,314
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$759
After-tax cash flow
$3,911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,177 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…