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128 Bonds Ave
D Composite 42.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

128 Bonds Ave · East Alton, IL 62024
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1945 6,420 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 bed, 1 bath home with plenty of potential. Perfect project for someone ready to renovate and make it their own.

Key facts

  • 6,420 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 78 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#418 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14 (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #793 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: East Alton-Wood River High Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 537 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.26%
Cap rate
38.36%
Cash-on-cash
114.54%
DSCR
6.10
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,056
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Victory Dr 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 1mo $112,000 $83 88
101 Bonds Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 1,222 (-9%) 1mo $132,000 $108 81
104 Victory Dr 0.09mi 2/1.0 1,160 (-14%) 10mo $99,900 $86 64
821 Center St 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,352 (+1%) 8mo $75,000 $55 64
270 Victory Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (-10%) 9mo $172,900 $142 60
104 N Pence St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,204 (-10%) 3mo $20,000 $17 60
108 Goulding St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,513 (+13%) 8mo $47,500 $31 54
124 Illinois St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (-2%) 10mo $149,900 $114 49
116 Haller Ave 0.75mi 2/1.5 1,328 (-1%) 15mo $134,900 $102 49
615 Bowman Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,424 (+6%) 4mo $139,900 $98 47
508 Washington Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,283 (-4%) 23mo $163,000 $127 34
505 Lincoln Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,159 (-14%) 14mo $115,000 $99 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$38,365
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.63×
Total profit
$88,049
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62024

Home prices YoY
-18.8%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,060 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$665

Break-even live

Break-even rent $218
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 S Pence St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 1d 1 0.19mi
140 Illinois St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 960 $695 $0.72 1d 1 0.64mi
121 Cardot St East Alton, IL 3.0 1.0 937 $1,200 $1.28 21d 1 1.05mi
3400 Milton Dr Alton, IL 2.0 1.5 972 $1,350 $1.39 4d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $24,900 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,900 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,900 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,900 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $24,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-05-23
    price $24,900
  12. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  13. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  14. 2026-02-27
    listed $29,900 Active
  15. 1999-04-12
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,722
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,018
− Management
−$1,018
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$8,070
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,937
After-tax cash flow
$6,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14
NCES district ID
1712990
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,977
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#14315
State rank
#793 of 919 in IL

Livability — East Alton

Score
69/100
State rank
#418
US rank
#8569

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Alton, IL
City population
9,465
Population (ZIP)
9,465

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.18%
Current HPI
216.1273
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,617 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…