850 Prangley Ave · Lancaster, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid home on Prangley Avenue - great for the first time home buyer or an investor; currently the home is tenant-occupied. There is a ramp leading to the front door and the main floor consists of a combo living/dining area, full kitchen, and a half bath. Access the fenced in back yard through the kitchen door. 2nd and 3rd floors host the bedrooms and a full bath. 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor, bonus bedroom/office on 3rd floor. Oil heat and hot water. Ready to go, making it a turn key operation.
Key facts
- Half bath
- Full kitchen
- Bonus bedroom office
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $204k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
- Lancaster SD (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #500 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Smith-Wade-El El Sch (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,094 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 447 students, 100% FRL); Wheatland Ms (math 4% / reading 26%, grade F, #471 of 512 statewide, top 93%, 445 students, 93% FRL); Mccaskey Campus (math 50% / reading 34%, grade F, #230 of 437 statewide, top 53%, 2,620 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 72% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 296 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $134k; list at $204k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.22%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,009
- List price
- $204,500
- Delta
- -0.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 Pearl St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 135 Old Dorwart St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,126 (+0%) | 1mo | $140,250 | $125 | 69 |
| 827 3rd St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+11%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $222 | 67 |
| 635 1st St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (+8%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $162 | 63 |
| 679 Poplar St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-4%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $218 | 61 |
| 1230 Elm Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+3%) | 0mo | $254,000 | $220 | 61 |
| 646 1st St | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 | 1,256 (+12%) | 2mo | $244,900 | $195 | 60 |
| 738 Marietta Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,061 (-5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $165 | 60 |
| 813 Fremont St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,234 (+10%) | 1mo | $231,000 | $187 | 54 |
| 743 Saint Joseph St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $222 | 54 |
| 841 Wabank St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $198 | 50 |
| 420 Lafayette St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-10%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $140 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-30,962
- Equity at exit
- $30,492
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-36,093
- Equity at exit
- $17,681
Cash invested: $57,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17603
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,072
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $164 | +0% $106 | +5% $48 | +10% $-10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $33 | +0% $106 | +5% $178 | +10% $251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $158 | base $106 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $-1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,125
- Closing costs
- $6,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 741 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 40 Fairview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 678 1/2 Columbia Ave Apt 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 14 Coral St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 529 Manor St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,635 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 37 E Filbert St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1415 Spencer Ave Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1181 | $3,720 | $3.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 135 Grandview Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $3,295 | $2.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 513 Poplar St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,695 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 324 New Dorwart St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,495 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 101 Roselawn Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,785 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 214 W Strawberry St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,345 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 118 N Prince St Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1274 | $4,703 | $3.69 | 15d | 48 | 0.95mi |
| 404 Beaver St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,425 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 345 1/2 Beaver St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1382 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 549 Howard Ave Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1439 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 250 Stone Mill Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1330 Wabank Rd Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1423 | $2,062 | $1.45 | 15d | 21 | 1.12mi |
| 537 Woodward St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 204 Elmshire Dr Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 46d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $204,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $204,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,500 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $204,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-01-21$204,500 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Solid home on Prangley Avenue - great for the first time home buyer or an investor; currently the home is tenant-occupied. There is a ramp leading to the front door and the main floor consists of a combo living/dining area, full kitchen, and a half bath. Access the fenced in back yard through the kitchen door. 2nd and 3rd floors host the bedrooms and a full bath. 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor, bonus bedroom/office on 3rd floor. Oil heat and hot water. Ready to go, making it a turn key operation.
-
2023-10-13soldstatus $134,100
-
2023-10-10soldstatus $134,100 Closed 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
-
2023-09-22status Pending 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
-
2023-09-20status Active 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
-
2023-08-21status Pending 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
-
2023-08-17$114,900 Active 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
-
2023-08-16historical $114,900 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. All offers due 9.21.23 by 5:30. Seller will review at 6:00 p. m. but reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Oh if these walls could talk! This home has been in the Seller's family for generations and is looking for a family to come in and make new memories. It is a diamond in the rough, that with TLC, will be a sparkling gem. This city home has a half bath on the first floor, 3 beds on the 2nd floor with full bath and a 4th bedroom in the attic. Nice backyard and bilco doors for the basement with walk out steps. This home has been well-loved and will need work which is why it is being sold "as-is". Seller is unable to and will not make any repairs. As of April 1, 2022, the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) appraisal requirements will be used for GLA square footage and room count. The square footage and room count for this property may not adhere to these appraisal requirements. Buyers Agent to verify all information on buyers behalf. NO Escalation Clauses - Seller has asked for Highest and Best only. Once an offer is received, Seller will set at deadline, however Seller reserves the right to accept an offer at any time. Buyer's financing fell through.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,720 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- +$511/yr (+$43/mo · 23.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,455
- − Property taxes
- −$2,208
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − Depreciation
- −$5,949
- Taxable loss
- −$2,166
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$520
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213140
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,500
- Composite
- 15.52/100
- National rank
- #9301
- State rank
- #500 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 176,170
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,571
- Household income
- $77,084
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2557.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -508.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.3324
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+78.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed $204,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $134,100 Public Records
- 2023-10-10 Sold (MLS) $134,100 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-20 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-17 Listed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-16 Coming Soon $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,208 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…