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1233 SW 4th Ave
D+ Composite 47.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

1233 SW 4th Ave · Trenton, FL 32693
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 2005 0.34 ac lot Est $223k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

Key facts

  • Spacious front yard
  • Large backyard
  • Cozy front porch

Tags

COZY FRONT PORCHNEW VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEWLY REMODELED BATHROOMSSPACIOUS FRONT YARDLARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.34 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Tax information not included per instructions
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces south; Homestead exempt
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with typical residential construction (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in kitchen; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (7.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#207 in FL, #3,078 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gilchrist (rural): math 66% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #9 of 73 in FL (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Trenton Elementary School (math 71% / reading 59%, grade B+, #514 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 809 students, 58% FRL); Trenton High School (math 71% / reading 63%, grade B, #69 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 715 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Gilchrist County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gilchrist County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,795 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.81%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,560
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1233 SW 4th Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,040 (0%) 1mo $220,000 $212 100
1800 SW 19th Cir 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (0%) 3mo $249,000 $239 67
872 SW 2nd Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,137 (+9%) 7mo $235,000 $207 66
1125 SW Ninth Ave 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-8%) 18mo $260,000 $271 58
418 SW Fifth Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 960 (-8%) 4mo $205,000 $214 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$116,431
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$347,545
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32693

Home prices YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,698 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,955/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,818
Max offer price $208,184
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-30
    price $225,000
  3. 2026-02-05
    price $230,000
  4. 2025-10-31
    listed $235,000 Active
  5. 2023-06-23
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

  6. 2023-05-12
    status Pending 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

  7. 2023-03-30
    status Active 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

  8. 2023-03-14
    status Pending 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

  9. 2023-01-22
    listed $195,000 Active 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Great location! NEW SHINGLE ROOF INSTALLED 5/2023. This 3 bed 2 bath home is located in the heart of Trenton. Tons of potential to make this yours, perfect for a starter home. Call to set up a tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,955 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,955 · $163/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,375
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,955
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,630
− Management
−$1,630
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$5,113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,227
After-tax cash flow
$85/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilchrist
NCES district ID
1200630
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,610
Composite
53.01/100
National rank
#1522
State rank
#9 of 73 in FL

Livability — Trenton

Score
77/100
State rank
#207
US rank
#3078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,692

Population outlook (Gilchrist County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,730 people
By 2030
17,722 · +-0.0%
By 2040
17,393 · -1.9%
By 2050
16,597 · -6.4%
By 2075
14,300 · -19.3%
By 2100
11,498 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Gilchrist

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.0) · D 15.6% · R 83.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -68.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.0 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+62.8 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.81%
Current HPI
363.4299
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-23 Sold (MLS) $185,000 DGLMLS
  • 2023-05-12 Pending DGLMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Relisted DGLMLS
  • 2023-03-14 Pending DGLMLS
  • 2023-01-22 Listed $195,000 DGLMLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,955 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…