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4327 Sulla Dr
B Composite 71.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$170,000

4327 Sulla Dr · Florissant, MO 63033
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 233 Days on market
Built 1965 9,313 sqft lot $133/sqft · 19% below area Est $208k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 9,313 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1965

Tags

ABUNDANT CABINET SPACEMATCHING BLACK APPLIANCESLARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, schools D.
  • Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,545
List price
$170,000
Delta
-18.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4333 Caracalla Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,271 (-1%) 3mo $225,000 $177 86
4394 Satiris Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,301 (+2%) 0mo $235,000 $181 84
4428 Papal Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,318 (+3%) 6mo $129,900 $99 78
4443 Remus Dr 0.20mi 4/2.5 1,354 (+6%) 3mo $224,900 $166 76
11678 Galba Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (+1%) 2mo $129,900 $101 73
4384 Remus Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,128 (-12%) 2mo $209,900 $186 67
4451 Rhine Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,421 (+11%) 0mo $165,000 $116 66
11962 Nero Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+12%) 1mo $220,000 $153 65
4377 Varano Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,155 (-10%) 2mo $150,000 $130 64
4950 Patricia Ridge Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,124 (-12%) 4mo $177,500 $158 45
11879 Galba Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (-15%) 0mo $159,900 $146 43
12415 Danube Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,124 (-12%) 6mo $150,000 $133 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$117,532
Equity at exit
$153,149
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
8.44×
Total profit
$354,133
Equity at exit
$330,273

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,498/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,482
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11635 Hazeloak Dr Black Jack, MO 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,728 $1.54 17d 1 0.52mi
4872 Bristol Rock Rd Black Jack, MO 4.0 2.0 1448 $2,061 $1.42 2d 1 0.59mi
4583 Whisper Lake Dr Black Jack, MO 1.0–5.0 1.0–2.5 1225 $1,354 $1.10 1d 17 0.84mi
2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,945 $1.51 1d 1 1.01mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 23d 1 1.10mi
1536 Springlet Ct #31 Florissant, MO 3.0 2.5 1161 $1,450 $1.25 7d 1 1.15mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 23d 1 1.21mi
2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1561 $2,100 $1.35 1d 1 1.36mi
2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,776 $1.18 43d 1 1.36mi
3585 Pershall Rd Unit Moor Ferguson, MO 3.0 2.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 43d 1 1.37mi
10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 23d 1 1.40mi
1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,461 $1.48 23d 1 1.42mi
1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,480 $1.46 43d 1 1.48mi
1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,525 $1.55 43d 1 1.48mi
62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 43d 1 1.48mi
10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 1.49mi
1915 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1740 $1,500 $0.86 4d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 233 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 232 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 231 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $170,000 Active 230 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $173,000 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $173,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $173,000 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $173,000 Active 224 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $173,000 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $173,000 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $173,000 Active 219 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $173,000 Active 218 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $173,000 Active 217 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $173,000 Active 216 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $173,000 Active 215 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $173,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-04-17
    price $180,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-02-27
    price $184,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-02-06
    price $188,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-01-16
    price $194,000 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2025-10-28
    listed $200,000 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with a 2-car garage, located in Seven Hills. This home features a traditional layout, with the living room flowing seamlessly into the dining room and then into the kitchen. The kitchen offers abundant cabinet space and matching black appliances. All three bedrooms are situated on the same wing of the house for convenience. A large unfinished basement provides tremendous potential, perfect for storage now and offering the opportunity to be finished out later as a secondary living area or game room. Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2023-06-21
    historical
  23. 2015-09-01
    soldstatus $19,500,437
  24. 2013-06-10
    soldstatus $499,000
  25. 2012-12-12
    soldstatus $25,000
  26. 2012-12-12
    soldstatus $34,000
  27. 1990-08-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,498 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,498 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,679
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$2,498
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,734
− Management
−$1,734
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$95
After-tax cash flow
$2,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazelwood
NCES district ID
2913830
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,621
Composite
16.77/100
National rank
#9156
State rank
#306 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
42,258
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+592.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $173,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $180,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $184,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $188,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $194,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-21 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2015-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,500,437 Public Records
  • 2013-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $499,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,498 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…