Duplex
109 Center St · Manning, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
: Located in Manning! This beautiful new 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath duplex offers a unique style with an open floor plan and high ceilings throughout. Step into the spacious living room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining area, creating a bright and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Convenient main-floor laundry adds to the ease of living. You’ll love the quality kitchen featuring quartz countertops, stylish farmhouse sink, breakfast bar, brand-new appliances, and many special features throughout. The dining area offers plenty of space for family gatherings and includes patio doors leading to the deck. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms, highlighted by a spacio
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quartz countertops
- Farmhouse sink
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: Duplex (residential); One common wall
- Construction: Fiber cement exterior
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.2 acres (50 x 150); Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 one-quarter bathroom
- Interior features: Fireplace; Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-577 ($-7k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-289/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (28.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (37.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#107 in IA, #2,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Ikm-Manning Community School District (rural): math 75% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #58 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Irwin Elementary School (math 84% / reading 64%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 230 students, 39% FRL); Ikm-Manning Middle School (math 78% / reading 80%, grade A+, #42 of 246 statewide, top 17%, 284 students, 35% FRL); Ikm-Manning High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 196 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.54%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $121,134
- Equity at exit
- $261,165
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $385,698
- Equity at exit
- $563,212
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51455
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 26.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $-577
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-377 | -5% $-477 | +0% $-577 | +5% $-678 | +10% $-778 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-720 | -5% $-649 | +0% $-577 | +5% $-506 | +10% $-435 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-431 | -0.5pp $-504 | base $-577 | +0.5pp $-653 | +1.0pp $-729 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $1,806 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $903 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $903 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,805 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $289,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $289,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $289,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-27$289,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$4,348
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,733
- − Management
- −$1,733
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$12,276
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,946
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ikm-Manning Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1914880
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,285
- Composite
- 64.68/100
- National rank
- #524
- State rank
- #58 of 289 in IA
Livability — Manning
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #2085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manning, IA
- City population
- 2,303
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,303
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,745 people
- By 2030
- 19,244 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 18,251 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 17,223 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 16,258 · -17.7%
- By 2100
- 15,591 · -21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 28.4% · R 70.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.6pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+37.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 106.68%
- Current HPI
- 296.99
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $289,900 IAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…