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4206 SW Lexington Ave
D Composite 40.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$290,000

4206 SW Lexington Ave · Bentonville, AR 72713
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 2020 0.28 ac lot Est $285k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New construction 3bd 2ba. Open floor plan throughout kitchen, dining, and living room. Home has craftsman cabinetry, lots of natural light, and a covered patio.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2020

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fees noted (annual and monthly frequency); Community features: curbs, sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer; Recycling collection
  • Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio; Patio; Privacy wood fencing around back yard; Fenced yard; Landscaped; Level yard; Subdivision lot; Public paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (heat pump); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Storage; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (27.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (38.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (38.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.6% in Bentonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in AR, #864 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 710 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $179k; list at $290k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,505 (38.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.77%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6709 SW Whitmarsh Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+7%) 2mo $305,000 $205 84
6316 SW Chestnut Hill Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,332 (-4%) 10mo $299,000 $224 77
4304 SW Lexington Ave 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,353 (-3%) 20mo $277,500 $205 77
6202 SW Warrington Rd 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,494 (+7%) 1mo $300,000 $201 76
4307 SW Comstock Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+5%) 3mo $270,000 $185 76
4406 SW Lexington Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,310 (-6%) 12mo $300,000 $229 75
6314 SW Chestnut Hill Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,353 (-3%) 18mo $286,200 $212 73
6901 Pilgrim Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,423 (+2%) 20mo $275,000 $193 73
6802 SW Chalkstone Rd 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+7%) 12mo $315,000 $212 71
6905 SW Whitmarsh Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+5%) 17mo $312,500 $215 70
4204 Comstock Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,468 (+6%) 8mo $295,000 $201 69
6301 Chalkstone Rd 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+14%) 6mo $315,000 $199 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$124,099
Equity at exit
$261,255
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
5.68×
Total profit
$379,947
Equity at exit
$563,406

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72713

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$235 /mo · $2,819/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,375
Max offer price $209,020
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-294 -5% $-376 +0% $-458 +5% $-540 +10% $-623
Rent -10% $-600 -5% $-529 +0% $-458 +5% $-388 +10% $-317
Rate -1.0pp $-312 -0.5pp $-385 base $-458 +0.5pp $-534 +1.0pp $-610

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6706 SW Whitmarsh Rd Bentonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1657 $1,695 $1.02 23d 1 0.09mi
6611 SW Warrington Rd Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1353 $1,700 $1.26 16d 1 0.10mi
6801 SW Chestnut Hill Rd Bentonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1652 $1,750 $1.06 25d 1 0.13mi
6804 SW Chalkstone Rd Bentonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,885 $1.14 16d 1 0.18mi
4205 SW Lenox Ave Bentonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1652 $1,850 $1.12 25d 1 0.21mi
4404 SW Sackett Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,700 $1.15 25d 1 0.32mi
4405 SW Sackett Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,700 $1.15 25d 1 0.34mi
5806 SW Crozier Cir Bentonville, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 945 $1,452 $1.54 16d 25 0.52mi
5302 SW Monaco Ln Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,550 $1.29 25d 1 0.99mi
6708 SW Shady Rd Bentonville, AR 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 25d 1 1.38mi
3800 SW Mistletoe Ave Unit 1221819P Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1593 $5,861 $3.68 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $290,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $290,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $290,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $290,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $290,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 506-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $290,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,819 · $235/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,819 · $235/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,541
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$2,819
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$10,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,605
After-tax cash flow
$-2,896/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bentonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bentonville, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
67,689
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
28,999
Household income
$119,853
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
508.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Asian 20% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.77%
Current HPI
319.3081
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $290,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-12-30 Sold (MLS) $179,215 NWARMLS
  • 2020-11-03 Listed $179,215 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,819 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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