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1633 Winyah Dr
B- Composite 69.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

1633 Winyah Dr · Columbia, SC 29203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1945 0.45 ac lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 115 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Exterior finish: Other; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central heating and central cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Heights Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #572 of 597 statewide, top 97%, 441 students, 100% FRL); Eau Claire High (math 22% / reading 84%, grade C-, #139 of 196 statewide, top 71%, 627 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.30%
Cash-on-cash
25.03%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$20,184
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$62,240
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29203

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,638 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,744/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$583

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6408 Bishop Ave Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,850 $1.48 23d 1 0.34mi
5229 Woodbrier St Unit 504 Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1360 $1,500 $1.10 23d 1 1.07mi
1332 Boston St Columbia, SC 2.0 1.0 950 $1,099 $1.16 23d 1 1.14mi
214 Hanover Ave Unit A Columbia, SC 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 23d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    price $99,900
  15. 2026-04-23
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  17. 2026-02-17
    price $105,000
  18. 2026-01-27
    listed $120,000 Active
  19. 2023-01-27
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,744 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,744 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,659
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,744
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,573
− Management
−$1,573
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$5,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,384
After-tax cash flow
$5,616/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 01
NCES district ID
4503360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,931
Composite
25.94/100
National rank
#7335
State rank
#54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
40,653
Household income
$46,054
Rent vs Own
51.3% rent · 48.7% own
Severe rent burden
1980.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.52%
Current HPI
168.2114
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,900 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $105,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $120,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2023-01-27 Listed $139,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,744 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…