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5571 Tiki Ln
B+ Composite 75.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

5571 Tiki Ln · Jackson, MS 39212
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,173 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1991 8,712 sqft lot $60/sqft · 44% below area Est $125k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 5571 Tiki Lane, a 2-bedroom, 2-bath, single-story home located in Jackson. This home offers a good, functional floor plan with strong potential for the right buyer. The layout includes a comfortable living area and a well-sized primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and private bath, providing added convenience and privacy. The second bedroom and full bath are ideal for guests, a home office, or additional living space. While the property needs TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to renovate and add value. The one-story design allows for easy living, and the manageable yard offers space to customize or enjoy outdoors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home is full of potential and ready for transformation.

Key facts

  • Manageable yard
  • Walk-in closet
  • Private bath

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE BATHMANAGEABLE YARDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
14.75%
Cash-on-cash
30.22%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,122
List price
$69,900
Delta
-44.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5513 Dogwood Trl 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,219 (+4%) 2mo $130,000 $107 75
5551 Will O Run Cir 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,138 (-3%) 6mo $99,900 $88 74
103 Ramada Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,143 (-3%) 21mo $50,000 $44 62
4869 Cottonwood Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,221 (+4%) 16mo $112,500 $92 61
4341 Redwood Cir 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,286 (+10%) 23mo $139,900 $109 58
5526 Dogwood Trl 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+6%) 18mo $109,500 $88 57
235 Ramada Cir 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-8%) 13mo $66,000 $61 57
4271 Cypress Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (+4%) 6mo $107,900 $88 55
5536 Tiki Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,042 (-11%) 23mo $62,500 $60 54
4953 Oak Leaf Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,244 (+6%) 15mo $116,000 $93 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$21,554
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$65,462
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $641/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$493

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2750 N Siwell Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 14d 1 0.31mi
4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,215 $1.12 43d 1 0.95mi
1457 Lakeview Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,426 $1.11 14d 1 1.15mi
1478 Bass Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1036 $1,525 $1.47 14d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 120 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 115 DOM
  17. 2026-02-04
    listed $69,900 Active 809-char remark
    Show marketing remark (809 chars)

    Welcome to 5571 Tiki Lane, a 2-bedroom, 2-bath, single-story home located in Jackson. This home offers a good, functional floor plan with strong potential for the right buyer. The layout includes a comfortable living area and a well-sized primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and private bath, providing added convenience and privacy. The second bedroom and full bath are ideal for guests, a home office, or additional living space. While the property needs TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to renovate and add value. The one-story design allows for easy living, and the manageable yard offers space to customize or enjoy outdoors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home is full of potential and ready for transformation.

  18. 2025-12-28
    historical
  19. 2025-11-16
    price $74,900
  20. 2025-09-23
    listed $84,900 Active
  21. 2018-08-29
    soldstatus
  22. 2017-05-19
    soldstatus
  23. 2017-05-17
    soldstatus
  24. 2016-04-05
    listed $24,640
  25. 2015-03-26
    soldstatus
  26. 2015-03-10
    soldstatus
  27. 2000-10-27
    soldstatus
  28. 1996-05-10
    soldstatus
  29. 1991-06-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$641 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$641 · $53/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,308
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$641
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,145
− Management
−$1,145
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$5,080
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,219
After-tax cash flow
$4,695/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+183.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $69,900 MLSU
  • 2025-12-28 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-11-16 Price Changed $74,900 MLSU
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $84,900 MLSU
  • 2018-08-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-05-19 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2017-05-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-04-05 Listed $24,640 MLSU
  • 2015-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-10-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-05-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-06-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $641 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…