🏗️ New Construction
16 R.w. Macleod Ln · Belfast, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 41.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Cash flow +4.0/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
Key facts
- Concrete pad
- Vinyl skirting
- Well maintained park
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease required (land lease: yes)
Exterior
- Parking: 1–4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Utilities are on
- Home design: Mobile Home (single wide); New construction (2023); 924 above-grade finished area; Pitched shingle roof; Property subtype: Mobile Home; Property condition: New Construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding mobile construction; Built in 2023
- Exterior features: Outbuilding; Located in a mobile home park; Near public transit
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast nook; Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor) with closet and full bath; Bedroom 2 (first floor) with closet; Bedroom 3 (first floor) with closet and full bath
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement entry
- Laundry & utility: Electric tank water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 2.3% in Belfast — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#14 in ME, #1,247 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- RSU 71 (town): math 79% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #85 of 112 in ME (top 76%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.39% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.00%
- DSCR
- 0.47
- GRM
- 21.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $463,373
- List price
- $82,000
- Delta
- -82.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-158,000
- Equity at exit
- $69,090
- IRR
- -59.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.89×
- Total profit
- $-245,058
- Equity at exit
- $40,064
Cash invested: $129,745 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04915
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,828 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,430
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$193
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-1,298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,036 | -5% $-1,167 | +0% $-1,298 | +5% $-1,429 | +10% $-1,560 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,442 | -5% $-1,370 | +0% $-1,298 | +5% $-1,226 | +10% $-1,153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,064 | -0.5pp $-1,180 | base $-1,298 | +0.5pp $-1,418 | +1.0pp $-1,540 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $115,843
- Closing costs
- $13,901
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-08$82,000 Active 421-char remark
-
2024-01-10soldstatus $90,000 Closed 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2023-12-21status Pending 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2023-09-26price $95,000 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2023-06-03price $105,000 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2023-05-04price $119,000 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2023-04-21$130,000 Active 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
2023 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval. Real Estate Taxes are estimated.
-
2022-08-31soldstatus $74,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
2019 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval.
-
2022-08-09status Pending
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
2019 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval.
-
2022-06-23$78,000 Active
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
2019 Marlette 3 bedroom, 2 full bath 14x66 Single Wide Mobile Home located Seacoast Village MH park on Congress Street Belfast Close to shopping, downtown, YMCA and Waterfront. Open kitchen/Livingroom, primary bedroom with separate full bath. Home on concrete pad, tied down, vinyl skirting, steps and shed are included with sale. Park is very well maintained newly paved roadway and driveways. This home is on leased land and must have Park Owners approval.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,422 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,422 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,956
- − Property taxes
- −$1,422
- − Insurance
- −$2,317
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − Depreciation
- −$13,480
- Taxable loss
- −$24,754
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,941
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 71
- NCES district ID
- 2314822
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 34.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,774
- Composite
- 67.47/100
- National rank
- #374
- State rank
- #85 of 112 in ME
Livability — Belfast
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #1247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belfast, ME
- City population
- 9,030
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,030
Population outlook (Waldo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,611 people
- By 2030
- 39,475 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 38,245 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 36,078 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 29,774 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Waldo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.0% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 3.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.4 2020: D+4.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+10.7 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.00%
- Current HPI
- 258.9162
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-1.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $77,000 MREIS
- 2026-05-29 Pending — MREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $82,000 MREIS
- 2024-01-10 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MREIS
- 2023-12-21 Pending — MREIS
- 2023-09-26 Price Changed $95,000 MREIS
- 2023-06-03 Price Changed $105,000 MREIS
- 2023-05-04 Price Changed $119,000 MREIS
- 2023-04-21 Listed $130,000 MREIS
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $74,000 MREIS
- 2022-08-09 Pending — MREIS
- 2022-06-23 Listed $78,000 MREIS
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,422 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…