2401 W Route 66 Lot 1 · Flagstaff, AZ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully updated 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home in the peaceful 55+ Wildwood Hills community! Features include a new roof with a 15-year transferable warranty, brand-new double-pane energy-efficient windows, and a spacious two-car detached garage. Enjoy extra space with a detached workshop and storage shed—perfect for hobbies or gear. Nestled among the pines just off Historic Route 66, this home combines comfort, convenience, and mountain charm.
Key facts
- Historic route 66
- Detached workshop
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.1% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D-.
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 280 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,446/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3117% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.42%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $409,761
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -56.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 S Burlington St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (-1%) | 11mo | $425,500 | $380 | 73 |
| 2500 W Route 66 #118 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-6%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $90 | 70 |
| 1314 S Burlington St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,094 (-3%) | 2mo | $430,000 | $393 | 69 |
| 1455 S Union Pacific St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+0%) | 17mo | $435,000 | $384 | 65 |
| 2412 W Rio Grande Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+5%) | 7mo | $399,000 | $336 | 63 |
| 1301 S Burlington St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-4%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $389 | 60 |
| 2375 W Zepher Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+9%) | 11mo | $439,000 | $356 | 58 |
| 1290 S Burlington St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-4%) | 16mo | $426,500 | $395 | 54 |
| 1851 S Caboose Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+15%) | 22mo | $442,500 | $341 | 51 |
| 1675 W Sherrie Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+15%) | 1mo | $410,000 | $316 | 42 |
| 2050 Adirondack Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (+6%) | 19mo | $459,000 | $382 | 42 |
| 1431 S Union Pacific St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+15%) | 18mo | $425,000 | $328 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,699
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $32,479
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86001
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $747 | -5% $685 | +0% $623 | +5% $561 | +10% $498 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $429 | -5% $526 | +0% $623 | +5% $719 | +10% $816 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $713 | -0.5pp $668 | base $623 | +0.5pp $576 | +1.0pp $529 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2701 S Woody Mountain Rd Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1078 | $3,110 | $2.88 | 44d | 77 | 0.41mi |
| 2292 S Alvan Clark Blvd Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,701 | $1.74 | 44d | 12 | 0.58mi |
| 1385 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,725 | $1.90 | 44d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 1000 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $1,925 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 927 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,806 | $2.93 | 44d | 11 | 0.99mi |
| 923 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $2,304 | $2.63 | 44d | 36 | 1.10mi |
| 1580 S Plaza Way Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $2,455 | $2.81 | 44d | 12 | 1.12mi |
| 800 W Forest Meadows St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $3,535 | $4.17 | 44d | 32 | 1.14mi |
| 813 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 567 | $1,840 | $3.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1515 S Yale St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,740 | $2.02 | 44d | 6 | 1.19mi |
| 700 W University Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 675 | $1,735 | $2.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 600 W University Heights Dr N Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 766 | $2,254 | $2.94 | 44d | 4 | 1.42mi |
| 3200 S Litzler Dr Unit 9-236 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 776 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $179,900 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Beautifully updated 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home in the peaceful 55+ Wildwood Hills community! Features include a new roof with a 15-year transferable warranty, brand-new double-pane energy-efficient windows, and a spacious two-car detached garage. Enjoy extra space with a detached workshop and storage shed—perfect for hobbies or gear. Nestled among the pines just off Historic Route 66, this home combines comfort, convenience, and mountain charm.
-
2026-04-21price $189,900 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Beautifully updated 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home in the peaceful 55+ Wildwood Hills community! Features include a new roof with a 15-year transferable warranty, brand-new double-pane energy-efficient windows, and a spacious two-car detached garage. Enjoy extra space with a detached workshop and storage shed—perfect for hobbies or gear. Nestled among the pines just off Historic Route 66, this home combines comfort, convenience, and mountain charm.
-
2026-03-20price $199,900 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Beautifully updated 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home in the peaceful 55+ Wildwood Hills community! Features include a new roof with a 15-year transferable warranty, brand-new double-pane energy-efficient windows, and a spacious two-car detached garage. Enjoy extra space with a detached workshop and storage shed—perfect for hobbies or gear. Nestled among the pines just off Historic Route 66, this home combines comfort, convenience, and mountain charm.
-
2025-10-31$235,000 Active 453-char remark
Show marketing remark (453 chars)
Beautifully updated 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home in the peaceful 55+ Wildwood Hills community! Features include a new roof with a 15-year transferable warranty, brand-new double-pane energy-efficient windows, and a spacious two-car detached garage. Enjoy extra space with a detached workshop and storage shed—perfect for hobbies or gear. Nestled among the pines just off Historic Route 66, this home combines comfort, convenience, and mountain charm.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$1,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,348
- − Management
- −$2,348
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $4,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home in Wildwood Hills offers a peaceful setting with a new roof, energy-efficient windows, and a spacious garage. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
- NCES district ID
- 0402860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,510
- Composite
- 21.11/100
- National rank
- #8437
- State rank
- #158 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Flagstaff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #18308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flagstaff, AZ
- County
- Coconino County · 91,667 people
- City population
- 91,667
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,312
- Household income
- $64,626
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3117.0
Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 150,645 people
- By 2030
- 156,857 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 168,714 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 181,082 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 218,399 · +45.0%
- By 2100
- 238,853 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coconino
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -488.37%
- Current HPI
- 393.2551
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-23.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $179,900 NAZMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $189,900 NAZMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $199,900 NAZMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $235,000 NAZMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…