1517 Maplehurst Street St · Mishawaka, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Look at this lovely home in Mishawaka. Home is located on a huge 92 x 305 feet lot with fenced back yard, great for kids and furry friends to play. Needs a little TLC but priced to sell as is
Key facts
- Huge 92 x 305 feet
- 0.63 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.2% in Mishawaka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#53 in IN, #3,586 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, employment F.
- School City Of Mishawaka (urban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #260 of 301 in IN (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $135k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.51%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,073
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -6.37%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 E Broadway St | 0.41mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 660 (+6%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $189 | 62 |
| 2106 N Byrkit St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 580 (-7%) | 7mo | $114,000 | $197 | 62 |
| 630 Studebaker St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (+6%) | 12mo | $167,500 | $254 | 56 |
| 310 E Borley Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-0%) | 14mo | $133,000 | $213 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $27,252
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $86,924
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46565
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,093/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $771
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $848 | -5% $810 | +0% $771 | +5% $733 | +10% $695 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $609 | -5% $690 | +0% $771 | +5% $853 | +10% $934 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $839 | -0.5pp $806 | base $771 | +0.5pp $736 | +1.0pp $701 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 W Mishawaka Ave Mishawaka, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $1,914 | $2.02 | 15d | 31 | 1.11mi |
| 302 Village Dr Mishawaka, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,591 | $1.67 | 15d | 33 | 1.27mi |
| 303 Village Dr Mishawaka, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 918 | $1,619 | $1.76 | 15d | 25 | 1.28mi |
| 365 W Front St Mishawaka, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $3,050 | $3.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $134,900 Pending 124 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $134,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $154,900 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Look at this lovely home in Mishawaka. Home is located on a huge 92 x 305 feet lot with fenced back yard, great for kids and furry friends to play. Needs a little TLC but priced to sell as is
-
2026-02-13$165,900 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Look at this lovely home in Mishawaka. Home is located on a huge 92 x 305 feet lot with fenced back yard, great for kids and furry friends to play. Needs a little TLC but priced to sell as is
-
2015-04-01$49,900
-
2013-12-19soldstatus $57,000
-
2013-07-14$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,093 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,093
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,976
- − Management
- −$1,976
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $7,500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,800
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School City Of Mishawaka
- NCES district ID
- 1806840
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,290
- Composite
- 22.26/100
- National rank
- #8143
- State rank
- #260 of 301 in IN
Livability — Mishawaka
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #3586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mishawaka, IN
- City population
- 57,683
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,718
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 13% Italian 4% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 33% English-only · German/W. Germanic 65% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.15%
- Current HPI
- 251.731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+158.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $154,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $165,900 IRMLS
- 2015-04-01 Listed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2013-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-14 Listed $59,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2023): $1,093 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…