30 Bevier St · Binghamton, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious two family conveniently located near shopping & amp; bus lines. New HWH 2015. Replacement Windows, large fenced side yard w/ landscaping. Fantastic owner occupy or investment!
Key facts
- Fenced side yard
- Landscaping
- Replacement windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $794 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 70% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $95k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.83%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,228
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dennison Ave | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 | 1,856 (-4%) | 11mo | $132,000 | $71 | 78 |
| 32 Dennison Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (-14%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $110 | 67 |
| 170 Moeller Street St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,976 (+3%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $71 | 63 |
| 18 Woodruff Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,062 (+7%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $78 | 63 |
| 14 Woodruff Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,950 (+1%) | 24mo | $154,900 | $79 | 63 |
| 6 Lockwood St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 1,782 (-8%) | 13mo | $132,000 | $74 | 62 |
| 20 Lockwood St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,781 (-8%) | 11mo | $149,900 | $84 | 58 |
| 11 Allen St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 | 2,100 (+9%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 5 Allen St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 | 1,704 (-12%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $94 | 54 |
| 128 Moeller St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,788 (-7%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $67 | 31 |
| 6 Pleasant Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,070 (+8%) | 24mo | $205,000 | $99 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $35,212
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $95,903
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13901
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,836 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $794
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $860 | -5% $827 | +0% $794 | +5% $761 | +10% $728 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $649 | -5% $722 | +0% $794 | +5% $867 | +10% $939 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $842 | -0.5pp $818 | base $794 | +0.5pp $770 | +1.0pp $744 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 Chenango St Unit 1 Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 8 Roosevelt Ave Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 8 Roosevelt Ave Unit 2 Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 607 Chenango St Binghamton, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 40 Fuller St Unit 40A Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 136 Court St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $3,000 | $2.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2018-10-31soldstatus $56,000
-
2018-10-31soldstatus $56,000
-
2018-10-25soldstatus $56,000
-
2018-03-05$55,900
-
2016-04-12$63,900
-
2013-09-24$64,900
-
2013-09-06$64,900
-
2006-12-29soldstatus $42,500
-
1999-02-23$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,763
- − Management
- −$1,763
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $8,524
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,046
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,484/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Binghamton City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3604870
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,475
- Composite
- 30.09/100
- National rank
- #6342
- State rank
- #557 of 590 in NY
Livability — Binghamton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #2710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Binghamton, NY
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 65,170
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,613
- Household income
- $55,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1230.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.13%
- Current HPI
- 300.7692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+12.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-25 Sold (MLS) $56,000 GBAOR
- 2018-03-05 Listed $55,900 GBAOR
- 2016-04-12 Listed $63,900 GBAOR
- 2013-09-24 Listed $64,900 GBAOR
- 2013-09-06 Listed $64,900 GBAOR
- 2006-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 1999-02-23 Listed $49,900 GBAOR
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,961 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…