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4336 S Kirkman Rd #705
D- Composite 39.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$147,990

4336 S Kirkman Rd #705 · Orlando, FL 32811
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 729 sqft · Condo public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1997 $347/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful 1st floor one bedroom one bath condo at Sunset Lakes Condominiums. Sunset Lakes is a gated community with a pool, fitness center and clubhouse. All this and close to Universal Studios, Valencia College, Interstate 4 and Highway 408. A perfect place for a home or investment!

Key facts

  • $347 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1997

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Unit located on floor 1
  • Financial info: Total annual HOA/association fees $4,164; No lease restrictions reported
  • HOA & community: Sunset Lake HOA with monthly condo fee of $347; HOA fees cover pool, trash, and 24-hour guard; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, and pool; Buyer approval required; Pets allowed (dogs and cats; max pet weight up to 200 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Security: 24-hour guarded community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Condominium; Residential property; 2 total stories; Entry on level One; South-facing
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building 7
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Paved road access; Fishing pier access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Solid surface counters; Thermostat; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry (washer and dryer included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (12.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Windy Ridge K-8 (math 68% / reading 68%, grade B+, #425 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 1,173 students, 41% FRL); Olympia High (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,969 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 238 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,935 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.6%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-34,798
Equity at exit
$22,066
10-year hold
IRR
-42.6%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-55,332
Equity at exit
$12,795

Cash invested: $41,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32811

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$776
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,515/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$347
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,765
Max offer price $129,935
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,998
Closing costs
$4,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4332 S Kirkman Rd #1003 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 729 $1,350 $1.85 3d 1 0.01mi
4324 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 730 $2,700 $3.70 24d 1 0.04mi
4352 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 964 $1,365 $1.42 3d 2 0.05mi
4368 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 730 $2,700 $3.70 24d 1 0.11mi
4368 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 863 $1,700 $1.97 14d 2 0.11mi
6025 Oakshadow St Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 949 $1,221 $1.29 2d 64 0.23mi
4601 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,124 $2.04 3d 3 0.36mi
4618 Middlebrook Rd Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 710 $1,499 $2.11 2d 28 0.53mi
6421 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 847 $1,304 $1.54 2d 21 0.54mi
5109 Eaglesmere Dr Unit 11A Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 591 $1,350 $2.28 15d 1 0.68mi
4860 Cypress Woods Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 786 $1,099 $1.40 3d 18 0.81mi
4000 Middlebrook Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 979 $1,199 $1.22 8d 27 0.85mi
6435 Manhattan Village Ave #205 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 680 $1,340 $1.97 4d 1 0.89mi
5112 Conroy Rd #315 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 711 $1,250 $1.76 12d 1 0.92mi
5974 Windhover Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,099 $1.37 2d 9 0.96mi
5120 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $1,250 $1.47 15d 1 0.97mi
5164 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 711 $1,275 $1.79 24d 1 0.99mi
5124 Conroy Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $1,350 $1.59 15d 2 1.01mi
5152 Conroy Rd Unit 1316 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 597 $1,250 $2.09 16d 1 1.02mi
5578 Metrowest Blvd Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 774 $1,272 $1.64 24d 2 1.03mi
5578 Metrowest Blvd Unit 1-211 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 709 $1,275 $1.80 14d 1 1.03mi
5578 Metrowest Blvd Unit 1-302 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 709 $1,300 $1.83 4d 1 1.03mi
5467 Vineland Rd #6214 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 645 $1,350 $2.09 22d 1 1.04mi
5128 Conroy Rd Unit 713HOA Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 597 $1,350 $2.26 3d 1 1.05mi
5455 Vineland Rd #3214 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 645 $1,375 $2.13 8d 1 1.06mi
5587 Millennia Park Dr Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,595 $2.13 18d 1 1.06mi
5587 Millennia Park Dr Unit 110 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,900 $2.53 24d 1 1.06mi
5587 Millennia Park Dr Unit 519 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,800 $2.40 24d 1 1.06mi
5587 Millennia Park Dr Unit 215 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,700 $2.27 24d 1 1.06mi
5579 Millennia Park Dr Unit 517 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,790 $2.39 14d 1 1.06mi
5579 Millennia Park Dr #403 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,600 $2.13 24d 1 1.06mi
5587 Millennia Park Dr Unit 515 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 24d 1 1.06mi
5475 Vineland Rd #8311 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 734 $1,500 $2.04 24d 1 1.09mi
5451 Vineland Rd #2111 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 734 $1,295 $1.76 18d 1 1.11mi
5451 Vineland Rd #2111 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 734 $1,295 $1.76 22d 1 1.11mi
4822 Cason Cove Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 884 $1,349 $1.53 2d 9 1.11mi
4771 Walden Cir Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 798 $1,474 $1.85 3d 12 1.14mi
5447 Vineland Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $1,650 $1.68 4d 3 1.17mi
5447 Vineland Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $1,350 $1.37 15d 4 1.17mi
2674 Robert Trent Jones Dr Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 674 $1,415 $2.10 24d 2 1.20mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$347 · $4,164/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $147,990 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $147,990 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $147,990 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $147,990 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,990 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $147,990 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $147,990 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $147,990 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $147,990 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $147,990 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $147,990 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $147,990 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $147,990 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $147,990 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $147,990 Active
  18. 2024-09-30
    soldstatus $150,000
  19. 2024-01-21
    historical $2,300
  20. 2023-10-15
    listed $2,300
  21. 2021-01-19
    soldstatus $100,000
  22. 2021-01-15
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Wonderful 1st floor one bedroom one bath condo at Sunset Lakes Condominiums. Sunset Lakes is a gated community with a pool, fitness center and clubhouse. All this and close to Universal Studios, Valencia College, Interstate 4 and Highway 408. A perfect place for a home or investment!

  23. 2020-12-01
    status Pending 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Wonderful 1st floor one bedroom one bath condo at Sunset Lakes Condominiums. Sunset Lakes is a gated community with a pool, fitness center and clubhouse. All this and close to Universal Studios, Valencia College, Interstate 4 and Highway 408. A perfect place for a home or investment!

  24. 2020-11-16
    price $107,500 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Wonderful 1st floor one bedroom one bath condo at Sunset Lakes Condominiums. Sunset Lakes is a gated community with a pool, fitness center and clubhouse. All this and close to Universal Studios, Valencia College, Interstate 4 and Highway 408. A perfect place for a home or investment!

  25. 2020-10-06
    listed $115,000 Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Wonderful 1st floor one bedroom one bath condo at Sunset Lakes Condominiums. Sunset Lakes is a gated community with a pool, fitness center and clubhouse. All this and close to Universal Studios, Valencia College, Interstate 4 and Highway 408. A perfect place for a home or investment!

  26. 2011-02-01
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,515 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,515 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,628
− Mortgage interest
−$8,290
− Property taxes
−$2,515
− Insurance
−$740
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− HOA
−$4,164
− Depreciation
−$4,305
Taxable loss
−$3,527
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$847
After-tax cash flow
$-380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Orlando

Score
86/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#360

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orlando, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
City population
964,969
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
41,475
Household income
$54,082
Rent vs Own
69.9% rent · 30.1% own
Severe rent burden
2728.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 17% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Estonian 4% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.37%
Current HPI
284.9191
Rent YoY
▲ 0.15%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+393.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $147,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-21 Rental Removed $2,300 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-10-15 Listed for Rent $2,300 STELLARMLS
  • 2021-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-15 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-01 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-16 Price Changed $107,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-06 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,515 · +169.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…