352 10th Ave · Chickasaw, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Low maintenance rental property! This 3 bed / 1 bath property features newer central heating and air, new flooring throughout, and new paint. It also has new appliances, freshly painted kitchen cabinets, all new lighting / plumbing / door hardware. It also has vinyl siding for low maintenance and a desirable private backyard. The home is located around the corner from the elementary and high school. This property generates $1,100 / month. This property can also be purchased as a package with 11 other occupied rental houses. Buy all of them or pick and choose. Contact listing agent for details.
Key facts
- New lighting
- New plumbing
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.2% in Chickasaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Chickasaw City Elementary School (math 7% / reading 30%, grade F, #480 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 550 students, 80% FRL); Chickasaw City High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #248 of 305 statewide, top 82%, 224 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.08%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352 10th Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 0mo | $97,899 | $104 | 100 |
| 419 Geronimo St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $140 | 68 |
| 108 11th Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,003 (+6%) | 0mo | $77,000 | $77 | 65 |
| 253 9th Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-10%) | 6mo | $84,700 | $99 | 65 |
| 300 Geronimo St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,076 (+14%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $102 | 64 |
| 161 3rd Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-6%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $51 | 57 |
| 105 11th Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (-10%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 104 8th Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,071 (+14%) | 0mo | $94,000 | $88 | 52 |
| 351 Kansas St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 813 (-14%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 107 5th Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-13%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $48 | 46 |
| 97 Grant St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (+9%) | 1mo | $137,500 | $133 | 45 |
| 9 Elizabeth Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+14%) | 6mo | $96,000 | $89 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $70,823
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.99×
- Total profit
- $195,538
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36611
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $365/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $315 | -5% $287 | +0% $258 | +5% $230 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $216 | +0% $258 | +5% $301 | +10% $344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $284 | base $258 | +0.5pp $232 | +1.0pp $206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 9th Ave Chickasaw, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 55 Thompson Blvd Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 408 Rawls Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 311 Grant St Chickasaw, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3 Southern St Chickasaw, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $795 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 100 Dairy Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2026-03-13status Active
-
2026-03-13historical
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2026-03-02historical
-
2026-03-02$99,900 Active
-
2024-11-01historical $1,000
-
2024-10-09price $1,000
-
2024-08-27price $1,100
-
2024-08-06$1,150
-
2024-04-23historical $1,150
-
2024-04-13$1,150
-
2024-02-06soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $365 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $410 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- +$45/yr (+$4/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,977
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$365
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,534
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Chickasaw
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #17438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chickasaw, AL
- City population
- 6,367
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,367
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.90%
- Current HPI
- 196.621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+81.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-13 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-13 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-02 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-02 Listed $99,900 GCMLS AL
- 2024-11-01 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-27 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-06 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-13 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
- 2024-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $365 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…