3741 Loren Dr · Belvedere Park, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur's Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
Key facts
- Deck area
- All-brick ranch
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (13.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Belvedere Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#153 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.18%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,623
- List price
- $199,999
- Delta
- -18.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3556 Orchard Cir | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-1%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $164 | 67 |
| 3589 Orchard Cir | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $150 | 65 |
| 1438 Joy Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 10mo | $177,500 | $190 | 62 |
| 3456 Maryvale Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 1414 Meadowlark Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+1%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $235 | 56 |
| 3491 Maryvale Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 18mo | $187,000 | $200 | 54 |
| 3464 Jackson Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-1%) | 23mo | $187,000 | $205 | 40 |
| 1433 Meadowlark Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+14%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $210 | 35 |
| 3580 Orchard Cir | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-12%) | 15mo | $167,000 | $205 | 34 |
| 1412 Richard Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+10%) | 22mo | $212,000 | $208 | 31 |
| 3474 Glen Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,048 (+13%) | 17mo | $290,000 | $277 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-44,460
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-61,215
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30032
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $-148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1423 Dennis Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 18d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3961 Covington Hwy Decatur, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,560 | $1.56 | 2d | 8 | 0.38mi |
| 3907 Redwing Cir Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,149 | $1.37 | 44d | 18 | 0.42mi |
| 3829 Redan Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 576 | $1,249 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1590 Agape Way Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1055 Holcombe Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1157 | $1,459 | $1.26 | 3d | 6 | 0.80mi |
| 3960 Redan Rd Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1339 | $3,194 | $2.39 | 1d | 19 | 0.84mi |
| 3893 Kensington Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,299 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3579 Tulip Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1387 Midview Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3692 Larkspur Ter Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3841 Kensington Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 2d | 14 | 1.02mi |
| 1368 Alverado Way Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,523 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3503 Misty Valley Rd Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 984 | $1,495 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1221 S Indian Creek Dr Stone Mountain, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,790 | $1.98 | 24d | 15 | 1.05mi |
| 4565 Covington Hwy Decatur, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,439 | $1.20 | 3d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 4371 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 44d | 6 | 1.15mi |
| 4371 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 2d | 9 | 1.15mi |
| 200 High Court Pl Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $1,705 | $1.51 | 2d | 12 | 1.16mi |
| 1771 Ledo Ave Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1150 Maple Walk Cir Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,299 | $1.24 | 24d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 1802 Lee St Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4100 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 5d | 17 | 1.27mi |
| 3465 Kensington Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4151 Memorial Dr Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,892 | $2.32 | 2d | 145 | 1.37mi |
| 3900 Memorial Dr Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 13d | 4 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $199,999 Pending 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $209,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur’s Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
-
2026-05-11price $209,000 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur’s Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
-
2026-04-28price $224,950 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur's Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
-
2026-04-28price $224,950 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur's Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
-
2026-03-25$252,000 New 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur’s Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
-
2026-03-25$252,000 Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Classic all-brick ranch situated on a level corner lot in Decatur’s Turner Heights community. This single-level home features a functional layout with three bedrooms and a bright living space designed for comfortable everyday living. The eat-in kitchen offers ample space for dining, and the den provides additional flexibility for relaxing or entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a carport, patio, and deck area, along with easy access to major highways, shopping, and dining. A solid opportunity for homeowners or investors seeking location and potential inside the perimeter.
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2026-02-02historical $1,788
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2026-01-28$1,788
-
2024-11-17historical $1,525
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2024-11-04price $1,525
-
2024-10-17$1,545
-
2022-04-20soldstatus $900,857
-
2009-09-28soldstatus $18,000
-
2009-08-03$20,000
-
2007-07-23soldstatus $150,000
-
2007-06-29soldstatus $150,000
-
2007-01-15$105,000
-
1987-08-28soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,528 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,528
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,244
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,259
- After-tax cash flow
- $-521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Belvedere Park
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #9886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belvedere Park, GA
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- City population
- 42,812
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,948
- Household income
- $62,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2097.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.83%
- Current HPI
- 221.0467
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.34%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+273.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $209,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $209,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $224,950 FMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $224,950 GAMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $252,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $252,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-02 Rental Removed $1,788 RENTLY
- 2026-01-28 Listed for Rent $1,788 RENTLY
- 2024-11-17 Rental Removed $1,525 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-11-04 Price Changed $1,525 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-10-17 Listed for Rent $1,545 RENTALBEAST
- 2022-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $900,857 Public Records
- 2009-09-28 Sold (MLS) $18,000 FMLS
- 2009-08-03 Listed $20,000 FMLS
- 2007-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-29 Sold (MLS) $150,000 FMLS
- 2007-01-15 Listed $105,000 FMLS
- 1987-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,528 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…