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126 Tousley Ave N
C+ Composite 61.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,000

126 Tousley Ave N · New York Mills, MN 56567
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1900 0.34 ac lot $100/sqft · 48% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a 0.34-acre lot in New York Mills. The property offers over 1,000 finished square feet, a detached 1-stall garage, enclosed front porch, and rear mudroom entry. Interior features include hardwood floors along with spacious living and dining areas. Unfinished basement provides additional storage space. City water and sewer services are connected. Convenient in-town location with access to local amenities, schools, and employment centers.

Key facts

  • Rear mudroom entry
  • Unfinished basement
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHREAR MUDROOM ENTRYHARDWOOD FLOORSUNFINISHED BASEMENTCITY WATER AND SEWER SERVICESCONVENIENT IN-TOWN LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#112 in MN, #2,554 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • New York Mills Public School District (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 301 in MN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.12%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,484
List price
$89,000
Delta
-56.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$44,669
Equity at exit
$68,855
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
6.01×
Total profit
$124,764
Equity at exit
$137,876

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56567

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,350/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $886
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $157 -5% $132 +0% $106 +5% $81 +10% $56
Rent -10% $26 -5% $66 +0% $106 +5% $147 +10% $187
Rate -1.0pp $151 -0.5pp $129 base $106 +0.5pp $83 +1.0pp $60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $94,900 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a 0.34-acre lot in New York Mills. The property offers over 1,000 finished square feet, a detached 1-stall garage, enclosed front porch, and rear mudroom entry. Interior features include hardwood floors along with spacious living and dining areas. Unfinished basement provides additional storage space. City water and sewer services are connected. Convenient in-town location with access to local amenities, schools, and employment centers.

  18. 2026-03-18
    listed $99,900 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a 0.34-acre lot in New York Mills. The property offers over 1,000 finished square feet, a detached 1-stall garage, enclosed front porch, and rear mudroom entry. Interior features include hardwood floors along with spacious living and dining areas. Unfinished basement provides additional storage space. City water and sewer services are connected. Convenient in-town location with access to local amenities, schools, and employment centers.

  19. 2025-10-31
    historical
  20. 2025-07-10
    price $99,900
  21. 2025-07-07
    status Active
  22. 2025-06-26
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  23. 2025-06-20
    listed $126,000 Active
  24. 2022-06-27
    soldstatus $111,300 Sold
  25. 2022-06-27
    soldstatus $111,300
  26. 2022-05-16
    status Pending
  27. 2022-05-05
    status Active
  28. 2022-04-27
    status Pending
  29. 2022-03-22
    listed $105,000 Active
  30. 2022-03-22
    listed $105,000
  31. 2021-12-16
    soldstatus $77,500
  32. 2021-12-10
    soldstatus $77,500 Sold
  33. 2021-11-10
    status Pending
  34. 2021-09-08
    price $119,900
  35. 2021-08-10
    price $114,900
  36. 2021-06-10
    listed $119,900 Active
  37. 2007-02-21
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,350 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,350 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,243
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,350
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$85
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$21
After-tax cash flow
$1,297/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New York Mills Public School District
NCES district ID
2723520
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$47,845
Composite
37.59/100
National rank
#4382
State rank
#189 of 301 in MN

Livability — New York Mills

Score
78/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#2554

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York Mills, MN
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,183 people
By 2030
58,267 · +0.1%
By 2040
57,999 · -0.3%
By 2050
57,183 · -1.7%
By 2075
57,638 · -0.9%
By 2100
54,697 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 6% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.20%
Current HPI
244.2142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $94,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-26 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $126,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-27 Sold (MLS) $111,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-27 Sold (MLS) $111,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-16 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-05 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-27 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-22 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-22 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 2021-12-10 Sold (MLS) $77,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-10 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-08 Price Changed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-10 Price Changed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-10 Listed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,350 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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