25344 Shiawassee Cir #210 · Southfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A MUST SEE! A SPACIOUS BEDROOMS WITH AMPLE CLOSET SPACE, AND A LARGE BATHROOM. OPEN KITCHEN AREA. This beautiful two bedroom second floor unit has been fully updated with a new kitchen, updated bathroom, new flooring and paint throughout and new appliances! The unit includes an assigned carport parking space, basement storage & shared laundry for the building. You have quick access to shopping, dining and entertainment being close to 696 & Telegraph. Water and Heat are included in you Association Dues. COMMON LAUNDRY AREA IN BASEMENT WITH LARGE STORAGE SPACE. SECURED ENTRANCE.
Key facts
- $439 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1967
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.9% in Southfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Glenn W Levey Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #453 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 316 students, 62% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Southfield Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.04%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,815
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -25.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20090 Salem St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 1mo | $57,800 | $34 | 54 |
| 20804 Rensselaer St | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (+0%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 23591 Norcrest Dr | 1.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,476 (-4%) | 2mo | $178,000 | $121 | 52 |
| 19917 Denby | 1.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,652 (+7%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $91 | 47 |
| 19551 Five Points St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-22%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $154 | 36 |
| 19394 Riverview St | 1.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,916 (+24%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $52 | 35 |
| 18641 Sumner | 1.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,909 (+24%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $79 | 34 |
| 18919 Woodbine St | 1.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,226 (-20%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $90 | 34 |
| 19310 Centralia | 1.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,880 (+22%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $103 | 32 |
| 18689 Five Points St | 1.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,202 (-22%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $166 | 32 |
| 20504 Gaylord | 0.95mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,882 (+22%) | 0mo | $200,500 | $107 | 31 |
| 19363 Appleton St | 1.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,824 (+18%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $69 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-2,874
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-327
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48033
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,540 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$439
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $252 | +0% $225 | +5% $197 | +10% $169 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $103 | -5% $164 | +0% $225 | +5% $286 | +10% $346 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $245 | base $225 | +0.5pp $204 | +1.0pp $183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21885 Maplewood Dr Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2099 | $7,000 | $3.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19948 Wakenden Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 20017 Woodworth Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 32d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 22419 Fairway Dr Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 120d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18720 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2193 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18676 Brady Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 54d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19132 Appleton St Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 74d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 19010 Riverview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 64d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 18428 Brady Redford, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 78d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 19392 Negaunee Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail $439/mo · $5,268/yr condo
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $80,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $80,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $80,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $80,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $80,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $80,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $80,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $80,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $80,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $80,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $80,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $80,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $80,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $80,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $80,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $80,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $80,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $80,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $80,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $80,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $80,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $80,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $80,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $80,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $80,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $80,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $80,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $80,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $80,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $80,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $80,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $80,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $80,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $80,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $80,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $80,000 Active 120 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,478
- − Management
- −$1,478
- − HOA
- −$5,268
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,846
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully updated two-bedroom condo is move-in ready with new kitchen, appliances, and flooring. It offers ample closet space and a large bathroom. The location is convenient to shopping, dining, and entertainment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southfield Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632310
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,400
- Composite
- 23.77/100
- National rank
- #7814
- State rank
- #392 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #6175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southfield, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,335,747 people
- City population
- 54,914
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,277
- Household income
- $61,016
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 24% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.44%
- Current HPI
- 187.5011
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.96%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…