Fourplex
2641 Minnesota Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Owner Occupants & Investors welcome! Although all 4 units are occupied, the owner is willing to relocate a tenant if the buyer wants to live in the property. Also, the owner is installing brand new central air in all 4 units! Along with a new roof in 2022 and recent cosmetic updates this 4-family is primed to sell! Located in one of the best neighborhoods in South City, this multi-family will sell fast so call today!
Key facts
- Cosmetic updates
- Central air
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $274/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $339k).
- Recommended offer: $308k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,071/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $339k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.84%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,022
- List price
- $339,000
- Delta
- -3.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3521 Hartford St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 2,448 (+1%) | 3mo | $264,900 | $108 | 64 |
| 3230 Nebraska Ave | 0.63mi | —/— | 2,392 (-2%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $82 | 63 |
| 2628 Arkansas Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,254 (-7%) | 2mo | $349,900 | $155 | 62 |
| 3418 Hartford St | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 | 2,528 (+4%) | 6mo | $319,999 | $127 | 59 |
| 3161 Oregon Ave | 0.51mi | 4/— | 2,706 (+11%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 3142 S Compton Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,244 (-8%) | 6mo | $157,500 | $70 | 55 |
| 2632 Tennessee Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,120 (-13%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $146 | 55 |
| 3668 Botanical Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 | 2,226 (-8%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $164 | 47 |
| 2218 Missouri Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,314 (-5%) | 4mo | $339,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 2309 S Jefferson Ave | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 | 2,788 (+15%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $108 | 45 |
| 3439 Utah St | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 | 2,642 (+9%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $136 | 42 |
| 3416 Utah St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,700 (+11%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $56 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $22,615
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $142,824
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63118
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 27.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$855
- Net cashflow
- $1,095
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,287 | -5% $1,191 | +0% $1,095 | +5% $999 | +10% $903 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $773 | -5% $934 | +0% $1,095 | +5% $1,256 | +10% $1,417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,266 | -0.5pp $1,181 | base $1,095 | +0.5pp $1,007 | +1.0pp $918 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,072 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,018 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,018 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,018 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,018 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,071 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2602 Minnesota Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $1,950 | $1.17 | 5d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3228 Arsenal St Unit 1f St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2702 | $1,395 | $0.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2267 Indiana Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $2,195 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2643 Wyoming St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2592 | $2,600 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2027 Russell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2027 Russell Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2164 Lafayette Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2035 Allen Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2974 | $1,625 | $0.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3429 Ohio Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1938 | $2,250 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3510 California Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,200 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3663 McRee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1714 | $2,750 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3458 Giles Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2204 | $2,400 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2347 Park Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1608 | $2,150 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1231 Allen Market Ln St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3000 | $1,995 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3450 Wisconsin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1219 | $1,788 | $1.47 | 3d | 15 | 1.17mi |
| 1229-1231 Allen Market Ln Unit 1231 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $1,995 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3908 McDonald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1927 | $2,500 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3807 Potomac St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2588 | $1,100 | $0.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3807 Potomac St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2588 | $1,300 | $0.50 | 8d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3901 Folsom Ave Unit 3909 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $1,845 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3653 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2050 | $1,350 | $0.66 | 3d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 2211 Menard St Unit B St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2440 | $2,200 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2211 Menard St Unit A St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2440 | $2,200 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2300 Lasalle St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,900 | $1.53 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2406 S 10th St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,950 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1003 Ann Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $1,950 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 713 Barton St Unit 1031874P St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $3,856 | $2.42 | 8d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 919 Allen Ave Unit R Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1708 | $2,100 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 900 Allen Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $2,399 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $339,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $339,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $339,000 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
Owner Occupants & Investors welcome! Although all 4 units are occupied, the owner is willing to relocate a tenant if the buyer wants to live in the property. Also, the owner is installing brand new central air in all 4 units! Along with a new roof in 2022 and recent cosmetic updates this 4-family is primed to sell! Located in one of the best neighborhoods in South City, this multi-family will sell fast so call today!
-
2026-03-12$349,900 Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
Owner Occupants & Investors welcome! Although all 4 units are occupied, the owner is willing to relocate a tenant if the buyer wants to live in the property. Also, the owner is installing brand new central air in all 4 units! Along with a new roof in 2022 and recent cosmetic updates this 4-family is primed to sell! Located in one of the best neighborhoods in South City, this multi-family will sell fast so call today!
-
2025-10-20$349,900 Active
-
2025-03-29historical $725
-
2024-11-13$725
-
2024-11-02historical $725
-
2024-09-20$725
-
2010-09-28soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-08-11soldstatus
-
2004-01-07soldstatus $37,500
-
2002-06-04soldstatus
-
1990-11-13soldstatus
-
1990-04-25soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,426 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,288 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$862/yr (+$72/mo · 35.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$2,426
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,908
- − Management
- −$3,908
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable income
- $8,063
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,913
- Household income
- $57,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1495.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.51%
- Current HPI
- 171.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+688.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $339,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $349,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Listed $349,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-29 Rental Removed $725 APPFOLIO
- 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $725 APPFOLIO
- 2024-11-02 Rental Removed $725 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-20 Listed for Rent $725 APPFOLIO
- 2010-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 2002-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-11-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,426 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…