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3933 Carpenter Ave Multi-family
B Composite 71.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,999,000

3933 Carpenter Ave · New York, NY 10466
None bd · None ba · 6,470 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2012 2,683 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

3933-3935 Carpenter Ave, Both buildings are being sold together at this incredible price. Each building has 10 apartments. In total, 20 apartments, an excellent investment opportunity, and a rare chance to acquire a high-income-producing multifamily property with significant upside potential!!! Well-maintained. The property is located close to main roads, with easy access to local amenities such as a school, shopping, a bank, and various eateries. Near a 2-train Subway station, those buildings have tremendous upside in rental income and long-term appreciation. Don't miss this opportunity to own a high-potential asset in the Bronx.

Key facts

  • Near subway station
  • Multifamily property
  • 2,683 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYHIGH INCOME PRODUCINGMULTIFAMILY PROPERTYEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIESNEAR SUBWAY STATIONLONG TERM APPRECIATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking; No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Quadruplex
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating; Wall/Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a multifamily listed at $3.00M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($181k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($45k rent vs $3.00M).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $45,278/mo this rent would consume 824% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $840k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,999,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.50%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$472,890
Equity at exit
$447,161
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$1,648,361
Equity at exit
$259,299

Cash invested: $839,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10466

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
110.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$45,278 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$15,727
Tax est. 1.5%
$3,749 /mo · $44,985/yr
Insurance
$1,250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$9,508
Net cashflow
$15,044

Break-even live

Break-even rent $26,235
Max offer price $2,999,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17,117 -5% $16,080 +0% $15,044 +5% $14,008 +10% $12,972
Rent -10% $11,467 -5% $13,256 +0% $15,044 +5% $16,833 +10% $18,621
Rate -1.0pp $16,554 -0.5pp $15,807 base $15,044 +0.5pp $14,267 +1.0pp $13,477

20-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (20 units) $45,278

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$749,750
Closing costs
$89,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3294 Hull Ave Unit 3 Bronx, NY 3.0 1.0 5040 $3,700 $0.73 0d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,999,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,999,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,999,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,999,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,999,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-05-25
    listed $2,999,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$543,336
− Mortgage interest
−$167,991
− Property taxes
−$44,985
− Insurance
−$14,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$43,467
− Management
−$43,467
− Depreciation
−$87,244
Taxable income
$141,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$33,885
After-tax cash flow
$146,645/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
71,116
Household income
$65,969
Rent vs Own
60.1% rent · 39.9% own
Severe rent burden
4791.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.77%
Current HPI
349.542
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $2,999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,204 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…