Multi-family
3933 Carpenter Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,999,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
3933-3935 Carpenter Ave, Both buildings are being sold together at this incredible price. Each building has 10 apartments. In total, 20 apartments, an excellent investment opportunity, and a rare chance to acquire a high-income-producing multifamily property with significant upside potential!!! Well-maintained. The property is located close to main roads, with easy access to local amenities such as a school, shopping, a bank, and various eateries. Near a 2-train Subway station, those buildings have tremendous upside in rental income and long-term appreciation. Don't miss this opportunity to own a high-potential asset in the Bronx.
Key facts
- Near subway station
- Multifamily property
- 2,683 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking; No carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Quadruplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating; Wall/Window cooling units
- Interior features: Finished basement; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a multifamily listed at $3.00M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($181k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($45k rent vs $3.00M).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $45,278/mo this rent would consume 824% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $840k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.50%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $472,890
- Equity at exit
- $447,161
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $1,648,361
- Equity at exit
- $259,299
Cash invested: $839,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 110.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $45,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$15,727
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3,749 /mo · $44,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$9,508
- Net cashflow
- $15,044
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17,117 | -5% $16,080 | +0% $15,044 | +5% $14,008 | +10% $12,972 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11,467 | -5% $13,256 | +0% $15,044 | +5% $16,833 | +10% $18,621 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16,554 | -0.5pp $15,807 | base $15,044 | +0.5pp $14,267 | +1.0pp $13,477 |
20-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20× units | 2 | 1 | $45,280 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #5 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #6 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #7 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #8 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #9 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #10 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #11 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #12 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #13 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #14 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #15 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #16 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #17 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #18 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #19 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| #20 | 2 | 1 | $2,264 |
| Total (20 units) | $45,278 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $749,750
- Closing costs
- $89,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3294 Hull Ave Unit 3 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5040 | $3,700 | $0.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,999,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,999,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,999,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,999,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,999,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$2,999,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $543,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$167,991
- − Property taxes
- −$44,985
- − Insurance
- −$14,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$43,467
- − Management
- −$43,467
- − Depreciation
- −$87,244
- Taxable income
- $141,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$33,885
- After-tax cash flow
- $146,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $2,999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,204 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…