CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1010 Bay 25th St Duplex
F Composite 33.37
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$990,000

1010 Bay 25th St · New York, NY 11691
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1950 5,421 sqft lot Est $840k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1010 Bay 25th St in Far Rockaway. This spacious, well maintained brick duplex is located in a quiet neighborhood in Bayswater. This stunning home features 6 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a semi finished basement. The first and second units feature an open plan with formal living and dining rooms, an eat in kitchen, and hardwood floors throughout. The upper level includes an updated, renovated kitchen, a mini balcony, and a half bath in the primary bedroom. This home features a newer roof, newer doors and windows, and a newer water heater and boiler. It is situated on a fenced property in an excellent location close to local amenities and transportation options. This is a rare oppo

Key facts

  • 5,421 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Private off-street parking for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Duplex; Full basement
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window AC units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining; Granite counters; Storage; Walk-in closet(s); Washer/dryer hookup
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 6.0-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $990k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-915/yr) — negative. Per door: $-38/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $977k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $781k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $781k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,811/mo this rent would consume 167% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($960k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $781,100 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.33%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$840,000
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2327 Mott Ave 0.25mi 6/4.0 2,340 (-6%) 1mo $731,000 $312 77
1051 Bay 32nd St 0.30mi 6/4.0 2,392 (-4%) 6mo $845,000 $353 74
2316 Beach Channel Dr 0.22mi 6/2.0 2,383 (-5%) 10mo $550,000 $231 66
2324 Camp Rd 0.43mi 6/2.0 2,500 (0%) 10mo $885,000 $354 64
2810 Brookhaven Ave 0.30mi 6/2.0 2,352 (-6%) 7mo $790,400 $336 63
2215 Edgemere Ave 0.50mi 6/5.0 2,226 (-11%) 6mo $845,000 $380 49
212 Beach 26th St 0.55mi 7/5.0 (+1) 2,824 (+13%) 7mo $928,900 $329 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-165,524
Equity at exit
$147,612
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-151,392
Equity at exit
$85,597

Cash invested: $277,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11691

Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
21.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,192
Tax from tax record
$643 /mo · $7,713/yr
Insurance
$412
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,640
Net cashflow
$-76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,907
Max offer price $976,537
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $484 -5% $204 +0% $-76 +5% $-356 +10% $-637
Rent -10% $-693 -5% $-385 +0% $-76 +5% $232 +10% $541
Rate -1.0pp $422 -0.5pp $176 base $-76 +0.5pp $-333 +1.0pp $-594

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,811

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$247,500
Closing costs
$29,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
94 Roger Ave Inwood, NY 5.0 3.0 2328 $4,800 $2.06 44d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $990,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $990,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $990,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $990,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $990,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,150,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  15. 2026-05-04
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-04
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $1,150,000
  18. 2026-04-24
    historical $1,150,888

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,713 · $643/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,222 · $1,018/mo
Expected delta
+$4,509/yr (+$376/mo · 58.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$93,732
− Mortgage interest
−$55,455
− Property taxes
−$7,713
− Insurance
−$4,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,499
− Management
−$7,499
− Depreciation
−$28,800
Taxable loss
−$18,183
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,364
After-tax cash flow
$3,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,359
Household income
$56,135
Rent vs Own
72.3% rent · 27.7% own
Severe rent burden
4702.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -397.66%
Current HPI
281.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $1,150,888 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,713 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…