306 E Colonial · Konawa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Corner lot
- Open back patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#583 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Konawa (rural): math 17% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #197 of 270 in OK (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $95k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.94%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,944
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 N Divsion St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,459 (+6%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $69 | 67 |
| 200 S West St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (-2%) | 13mo | $29,900 | $22 | 63 |
| 35226 Ew1420 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+9%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $207 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $68,572
- Equity at exit
- $85,584
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.09×
- Total profit
- $188,623
- Equity at exit
- $184,564
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74849
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $589/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-04-26historical
-
2026-04-21price $95,000
-
2026-03-06price $99,000
-
2025-10-09$109,000 Active
-
2025-10-09historical
-
2025-04-10$109,000 Active
-
2020-02-12soldstatus $25,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!
-
2019-12-27$25,000 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!
-
2006-05-25soldstatus $68,000
-
2005-11-12soldstatus $30,000
-
1996-05-17soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $855 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$266/yr (+$22/mo · 45.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$589
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Konawa
- NCES district ID
- 4016710
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,885
- Composite
- 15.1/100
- National rank
- #9348
- State rank
- #197 of 270 in OK
Livability — Konawa
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #23852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Konawa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,775
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,628 people
- By 2030
- 25,617 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 25,619 · +-0.0%
- By 2050
- 25,726 · +0.4%
- By 2075
- 26,261 · +2.5%
- By 2100
- 25,844 · +0.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Native American 20% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.7) · D 24.2% · R 74.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -30.6pp · 2024: -49.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.7 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+44.1 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+30.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.88%
- Current HPI
- 333.4677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+179.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-26 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $95,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-09 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-09 Listed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-10 Listed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-02-12 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-12-27 Listed $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2006-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $589 · +27.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…