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306 E Colonial
B- Composite 69.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$95,000

306 E Colonial · Konawa, OK 74849
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 198 Days on market
Built 1972 9,042 sqft lot Est $95k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Corner lot
  • Open back patio

Tags

CORNER LOTCOVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN BACK PATIOTWO-CAR ATTACHED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#583 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Konawa (rural): math 17% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #197 of 270 in OK (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $95k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.94%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,944
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 N Divsion St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,459 (+6%) 6mo $100,000 $69 67
200 S West St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-2%) 13mo $29,900 $22 63
35226 Ew1420 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+9%) 9mo $310,000 $207 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$68,572
Equity at exit
$85,584
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
8.09×
Total profit
$188,623
Equity at exit
$184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74849

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $589/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    historical
  3. 2026-04-21
    price $95,000
  4. 2026-03-06
    price $99,000
  5. 2025-10-09
    listed $109,000 Active
  6. 2025-10-09
    historical
  7. 2025-04-10
    listed $109,000 Active
  8. 2020-02-12
    soldstatus $25,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!

  9. 2019-12-27
    listed $25,000 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Flip this House! 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home on corner lot! Property features: two living areas, open kitchen with updated cabinets, spacious bedrooms, large utility room, and a metal carport!

  10. 2006-05-25
    soldstatus $68,000
  11. 2005-11-12
    soldstatus $30,000
  12. 1996-05-17
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$589 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$855 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$266/yr (+$22/mo · 45.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,935
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$589
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,035
− Management
−$1,035
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$412
After-tax cash flow
$2,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Konawa
NCES district ID
4016710
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$37,885
Composite
15.1/100
National rank
#9348
State rank
#197 of 270 in OK

Livability — Konawa

Score
54/100
State rank
#583
US rank
#23852

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Konawa, OK
Population (ZIP)
2,775

Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,628 people
By 2030
25,617 · +-0.0%
By 2040
25,619 · +-0.0%
By 2050
25,726 · +0.4%
By 2075
26,261 · +2.5%
By 2100
25,844 · +0.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Native American 20% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Seminole

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.7) · D 24.2% · R 74.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -30.6pp · 2024: -49.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.7 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+44.1 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+30.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.88%
Current HPI
333.4677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-26 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $95,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-09 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2020-02-12 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2019-12-27 Listed $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $589 · +27.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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