513 Union St · Whitten, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic opportunity and a great value in Whitten Iowa!! Welcome to 513 Union St, Whitten! The owners of this property have had it since 1997 and since then have done quite a bit of work, and it shows! One of the major upgrades is a Quonset Building that was built in 1998, which measures 40 x 40, has electrical and is a perfect building for a future shop for all sorts of purposes!! Next was an attached garage built in 1999, which measures 28 x 40 and is a huge garage with tons of possibilities. If your looking for a shop and large garage, and need space for mechanical work, welding, tools, boats, toys, etc. etc. Ya better check this out before she's gone. This is a lot of property for
Key facts
- .45 acre lot
- Attached garage
- Quonset building
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Oversized garage; Carport (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and asphalt roof
- Exterior features: 140 x 140 lot; Lot approximately 0.45 acre; R-1 zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Two three-quarter bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Wood stove; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement; Basement present; Wood-burning stove in living room
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#840 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bcluw Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #192 of 289 in IA (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bcluw Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 179 students, 47% FRL); Bcluw Middle School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #157 of 246 statewide, top 67%, 150 students, 43% FRL); Bcluw High School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #192 of 336 statewide, top 59%, 177 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.12%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,070
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -24.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Union | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 | 1,496 (-3%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $57 | 78 |
| 518 Union St | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,475 (-5%) | 12mo | $123,000 | $83 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $39,826
- Equity at exit
- $42,716
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $101,960
- Equity at exit
- $65,831
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50269
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,313 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $646/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$95,000 Active 913-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $646 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$423/yr (+$35/mo · 65.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$646
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$968
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bcluw Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1904440
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,760
- Composite
- 55.54/100
- National rank
- #1241
- State rank
- #192 of 289 in IA
Livability — Whitten
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #840
- US rank
- #19328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitten, IA
- City population
- 125
- Population (ZIP)
- 125
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,474 people
- By 2030
- 17,369 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 17,018 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 16,454 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 14,665 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 12,404 · -29.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Asian 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 10% Serbian 6% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Vietnamese 7% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $95,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $646 · -12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…