320 T A Carroll Ave · Corsicana, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Opportunity – Tenant Occupied, Strong Rental Area Please be aware the property is tenant-occupied with long-term tenants. The current lease is active through January 31, 2027, Current rent is $1,049 per month. Charming and fully refreshed 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering bright living space and a simple, easy-to-maintain layout. Recent updates give the home a clean and modern feel throughout. The practical floorplan and inviting atmosphere make this property appealing to long-term renters and ideal for hands-off ownership. Situated on a well-sized lot with convenient access to schools, shopping, and major roadways, this move-in-ready property is an excellent option for investors seeking a stable, income-producing asset in an established neighborhood. The home is currently leased, providing immediate rental income from day one. Investment Highlights * Tenant occupied with an active lease * Current rent: 1,049 dollars per month * Updated interior and well-maintained * 3 bedrooms, 1 bath * Strong rental demand in the area * Suitable for all financing types
Key facts
- Updated interior
- Well maintained
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
- Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,147
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -5.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 S 8th St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+10%) | 17mo | $20,000 | $23 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-15,566
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-14,646
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75110
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,006/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $210 | +0% $170 | +5% $131 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $118 | +0% $170 | +5% $222 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $240 | -0.5pp $206 | base $170 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-02-24$139,000 Active 1101-char remark
Show marketing remark (1101 chars)
Investor Opportunity – Tenant Occupied, Strong Rental Area Please be aware the property is tenant-occupied with long-term tenants. The current lease is active through January 31, 2027, Current rent is $1,049 per month. Charming and fully refreshed 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering bright living space and a simple, easy-to-maintain layout. Recent updates give the home a clean and modern feel throughout. The practical floorplan and inviting atmosphere make this property appealing to long-term renters and ideal for hands-off ownership. Situated on a well-sized lot with convenient access to schools, shopping, and major roadways, this move-in-ready property is an excellent option for investors seeking a stable, income-producing asset in an established neighborhood. The home is currently leased, providing immediate rental income from day one. Investment Highlights * Tenant occupied with an active lease * Current rent: 1,049 dollars per month * Updated interior and well-maintained * 3 bedrooms, 1 bath * Strong rental demand in the area * Suitable for all financing types
-
2026-01-12historical
-
2025-11-26$149,099 Active
-
2022-07-01soldstatus
-
1989-03-16soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,538/yr (+$128/mo · 152.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,006
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$247
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corsicana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815330
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,948
- Composite
- 31.89/100
- National rank
- #5862
- State rank
- #471 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corsicana
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #6570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corsicana, TX
- County
- Navarro County · 31,552 people
- City population
- 31,552
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,552
- Household income
- $57,370
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,397 people
- By 2030
- 48,096 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 47,394 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 46,541 · -3.8%
- By 2075
- 44,940 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 42,288 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Navarro
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.01%
- Current HPI
- 224.5566
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.47%
- Metro
- Corsicana, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-6.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-12 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $149,099 NTREIS
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,006 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…