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13640 SE Highway 212 #39
B Composite 70.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

13640 SE Highway 212 #39 · Happy Valley, OR 97015
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Other public records · 190 Days on market
Built 2005 ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Community pool
  • Community clubhouse

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMESHADOWBROOK MOBILE HOME PARKCOMMUNITY CLUBHOUSECOMMUNITY POOLSIDE YARDCONCRETE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $87,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
17.74%
Cash-on-cash
40.89%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$43,504
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$111,853
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97015

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,003 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $744/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$954

Break-even live

Break-even rent $795
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,011 -5% $982 +0% $954 +5% $926 +10% $897
Rent -10% $796 -5% $875 +0% $954 +5% $1,033 +10% $1,112
Rate -1.0pp $1,004 -0.5pp $979 base $954 +0.5pp $928 +1.0pp $902

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13300 SE Hubbard Rd Clackamas, OR 3.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,987 $2.43 2d 6 0.52mi
12301 SE Hubbard Rd Clackamas, OR 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $1,523 $1.63 11d 4 0.85mi
14553 SE Lone Pine Dr Unit 14553 Clackamas, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,695 $2.12 44d 1 1.11mi
13898 SE Rogers Ln Clackamas, OR 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,599 $1.75 44d 1 1.11mi
14095 SE Summerfield Loop Happy Valley, OR 3.0 2.5 1453 $2,695 $1.85 44d 1 1.37mi
14712 SE Misty Dr Happy Valley, OR 2.0 1.0–2.0 955 $1,988 $2.08 2d 13 1.46mi
14154 SE Summerfield Loop Unit 14194 Happy Valley, OR 3.0 2.5 1125 $2,250 $2.00 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    status $99,999 Pending 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-05-04
    price $99,999 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  7. 2026-03-24
    price $110,000 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  8. 2026-03-05
    status Active 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  9. 2026-03-02
    status Pending 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  10. 2026-02-04
    price $115,000 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  11. 2026-01-16
    status Active 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  12. 2025-12-19
    historical Active with Bumpable Contingency 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

  13. 2025-11-23
    listed $119,900 Active 1044-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1044 chars)

    Back on Market at no fault of the home!! Quaint and private manufactured home located in the highly sought-after Shadowbrook Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community known for its peaceful atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to a serene setting with a community clubhouse and pool. This charming home features an exterior door from the second bedroom leading to a lovely side yard with a concrete patio & porch - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The spacious, fully fenced back yard offers plenty of room for raised garden beds or a new lawn. All 3 porches and railings are newly painted along with the outside baseboards. A covered carport provides parking for two vehicles and includes an attached storage/tool shed for added convenience. Fresh interior paint, brand-new carpet throughout, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and ceiling fans enhance the home’s comfort and appeal. Large windows throughout bring in the sunshine. All appliances, including the washer, dryer and refrigerator are included—making this home move-in ready!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$744 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$226/yr (+$19/mo · 30.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,031
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$744
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,923
− Management
−$1,923
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$10,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,504
After-tax cash flow
$8,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Clackamas SD 12
NCES district ID
4108830
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$60,217
Composite
32.1/100
National rank
#5807
State rank
#22 of 58 in OR

Livability — Happy Valley

Score
76/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#3386

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clackamas County · 361,406 people
City population
34,567
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
24,433
Household income
$87,333
Rent vs Own
36.0% rent · 64.0% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
458,456 people
By 2030
485,185 · +5.8%
By 2040
532,932 · +16.2%
By 2050
574,445 · +25.3%
By 2075
665,497 · +45.2%
By 2100
697,488 · +52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 11% Chinese 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -170.50%
Current HPI
295.7295
Rent YoY
▲ 2.48%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $99,999 RMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $110,000 RMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $115,000 RMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Relisted RMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Contingent RMLS
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $119,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $744 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…