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3300 Marvin Dr
C Composite 58.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

3300 Marvin Dr · Yucca Valley, CA 92284
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 370 Days on market
Built 1999 2.20 ac lot $150/sqft · 71% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

Key facts

  • Usable acres
  • Large living room
  • Good separation

Tags

USABLE ACRESLARGE LIVING ROOMOPEN KITCHENGOOD SEPARATIONBEAUTIFUL VIEWSQUIET SURROUNDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Yucca Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#566 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Yucca Mesa Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 402 students, 70% FRL); La Contenta Middle (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #426 of 498 statewide, top 86%, 650 students, 72% FRL); Yucca Valley High (math 15% / reading 49%, grade F, #674 of 1,170 statewide, top 59%, 1,264 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,421/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1132% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 370 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $89k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 370 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,151
List price
$210,000
Delta
70.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,830
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$48,000
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92284

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
573
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,421 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$509
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $607 -5% $534 +0% $462 +5% $389 +10% $317
Rent -10% $270 -5% $366 +0% $462 +5% $557 +10% $653
Rate -1.0pp $567 -0.5pp $515 base $462 +0.5pp $407 +1.0pp $352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3025 Alta Ave Yucca Valley, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 6d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 370 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 367 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 366 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 365 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 364 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 362 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 361 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 358 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 357 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 356 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 353 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 352 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 351 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 350 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 349 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    status Active 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  17. 2026-04-10
    price $210,000 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  18. 2026-04-07
    status Pending Sale 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  19. 2026-02-26
    historical Active Under Contract 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  20. 2025-11-25
    price $274,000 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  21. 2025-08-07
    price $289,000 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  22. 2025-06-13
    listed $299,000 Active 962-char remark
    Show marketing remark (962 chars)

    * * * Seller is motivated * * * This 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on 2.2 flat, usable acres in the peaceful Yucca Mesa area — offering plenty of room to spread out and enjoy the desert lifestyle. The home features a spacious layout with a large living room, open kitchen, and good separation between the primary suite and additional bedrooms. While the home is not on a permanent foundation (seller is willing to put on a permanent foundation with a good enough offer), it’s a great opportunity for someone looking for space, privacy, and potential at an affordable price. With beautiful views, quiet surroundings, and plenty of land, this property is perfect for gardening, animals, or even building something more permanent down the road (buyer to verify). Located just minutes from Yucca Valley shops and restaurants, and a short drive to Joshua Tree National Park, this home gives you the best of desert living with room to grow

  23. 2018-12-31
    historical
  24. 2018-05-31
    price $155,000
  25. 2017-11-14
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,057
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,325
− Management
−$2,325
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$2,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$561
After-tax cash flow
$4,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yucca Valley

Score
60/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#18584

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
25,415
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,415
Household income
$58,373
Rent vs Own
34.1% rent · 65.9% own
Severe rent burden
1132.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.13%
Current HPI
486.7185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $210,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $274,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $289,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $299,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-12-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-05-31 Price Changed $155,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-11-14 Listed $160,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $381 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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