115 Dumont Ave · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$335,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this charming two-story home located on a quiet cul-de-sac with minimal traffic. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard featuring a spacious deck—perfect for grilling, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors. Inside, the home offers beautiful granite countertops and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. Centrally located in Norfolk, you’ll have convenient access to downtown, beaches, shopping, and dining. Zoned for Granby High School, which offers the International Baccalaureate (IB) Diploma Program.
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Spacious deck
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (7.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.1%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,516/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 2299% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $335k implies a 408% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.80%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $352,336
- List price
- $335,000
- Delta
- -4.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-50,048
- Equity at exit
- $49,950
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $5,062
- Equity at exit
- $28,965
Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23505
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 12.1%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,516 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$233 /mo · $2,791/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $-141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $-46 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-340 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-42 | +10% $58 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $-56 | base $-141 | +0.5pp $-228 | +1.0pp $-316 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,750
- Closing costs
- $10,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 Burleigh Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7803 Nesbitt Dr Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5905 Hampton Blvd Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-17status Under Contract 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this charming two-story home located on a quiet cul-de-sac with minimal traffic. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard featuring a spacious deck—perfect for grilling, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors. Inside, the home offers beautiful granite countertops and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. Centrally located in Norfolk, you’ll have convenient access to downtown, beaches, shopping, and dining. Zoned for Granby High School, which offers the International Baccalaureate (IB) Diploma Program.
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this charming two-story home located on a quiet cul-de-sac with minimal traffic. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard featuring a spacious deck—perfect for grilling, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors. Inside, the home offers beautiful granite countertops and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. Centrally located in Norfolk, you’ll have convenient access to downtown, beaches, shopping, and dining. Zoned for Granby High School, which offers the International Baccalaureate (IB) Diploma Program.
-
2026-04-20$335,000 Active 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Come check out this charming two-story home located on a quiet cul-de-sac with minimal traffic. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard featuring a spacious deck—perfect for grilling, entertaining, or relaxing outdoors. Inside, the home offers beautiful granite countertops and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. Centrally located in Norfolk, you’ll have convenient access to downtown, beaches, shopping, and dining. Zoned for Granby High School, which offers the International Baccalaureate (IB) Diploma Program.
-
2026-04-19historical
-
2026-04-08status Active
-
2026-03-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-13price $339,000
-
2026-03-07$349,000 Active
-
2002-05-02soldstatus $66,000
-
1992-12-01soldstatus $64,000
-
1984-09-27soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,791 · $233/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,791 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,765
- − Property taxes
- −$2,791
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,416
- − Management
- −$2,416
- − Depreciation
- −$9,745
- Taxable loss
- −$7,613
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,827
- After-tax cash flow
- $134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,247
- Household income
- $58,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2299.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 294.9807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.08%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+1055.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $335,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-19 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $339,000 REINMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $349,000 REINMLS
- 2002-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1984-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,791 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…