10247 Valley Dr · Glasgow Village, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this warm and inviting ranch-style home, located in the established Glasgow Village neighborhood. Built in 1958, this residence offers a simple and efficient floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms across approximately 942 square feet of living space. The home is built on a solid slab foundation and is situated on a 0.17-acre corner lot, providing a manageable yard with a classic brick and frame exterior. Fully verified by public records, this property offers a straightforward living opportunity within the Riverview Gardens School District, providing the ease of single-level living in a traditional residential setting.
Key facts
- Single level living
- Ranch style home
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished living area reported as 942 (source: assessor/appraiser)
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service listed as other
- Home design: Single-family residential house; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built year from public records
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 61 x 124
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Full basement; No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer or other laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 12.2% in Glasgow Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#756 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Glasgow Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 269 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $51k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.33%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,246
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -10.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10519 Renfrew Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 982 (+4%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $97 | 74 |
| 534 Alcove Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (+6%) | 3mo | $104,200 | $105 | 73 |
| 10301 Renfrew Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 844 (-10%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $130 | 72 |
| 321 Caithness Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (-4%) | 3mo | $47,700 | $53 | 72 |
| 10555 Gourock Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 918 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $131 | 70 |
| 10066 Dorothy Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (-3%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $109 | 70 |
| 10300 Ross Cir | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+4%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 10539 Renfrew Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (-9%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $140 | 62 |
| 161 Cameron Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (+4%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $107 | 61 |
| 338 Lancashire Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,063 (+13%) | 0mo | $99,000 | $93 | 61 |
| 363 Shepley Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (-9%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $129 | 58 |
| 240 Shepley Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (-9%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $64 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $27,885
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $91,921
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63137
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $590 | -5% $569 | +0% $548 | +5% $526 | +10% $505 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $440 | -5% $494 | +0% $548 | +5% $602 | +10% $656 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $585 | -0.5pp $567 | base $548 | +0.5pp $528 | +1.0pp $508 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10213 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,225 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 10327 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,199 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 10201 Gourock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10201 Gourock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10309 Galloway Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,270 | $1.42 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 10401 Hobkirk Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 416 Crawford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,350 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 515 Topaz Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,245 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 437 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 255 Chambers Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10063 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 345 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,195 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 10027 Lilac Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,225 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 743 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 743 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 9d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 10019 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,540 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,425 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,425 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 457 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 10066 Dorothy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10519 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 982 | $1,399 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 317 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10524 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 305 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 312 Banff Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 301 Estridge Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,195 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,195 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,095 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,095 | $1.28 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9943 Lilac Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10432 Balmoral Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10421 Gardo Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10518 Gretna Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 232 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $74,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$84,900 Active 647-char remark
-
2019-09-03soldstatus $50,683
-
2018-06-05soldstatus $650,000
-
2015-10-14soldstatus $40,000
-
2015-02-03soldstatus $13,250
-
2014-12-22soldstatus $8,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $5,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,375
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Glasgow Village
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #756
- US rank
- #23451
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glasgow Village, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,684
- Household income
- $43,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1863.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.70%
- Current HPI
- 130.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+781.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,683 Public Records
- 2018-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2015-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $13,250 Public Records
- 2014-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2022): $1,304 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…