Triplex
936 E 19Th St · Paterson, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$719,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Legal 3 family home with driveway and plenty of additional parking
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- 10 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Three-unit property; Reported net operating income: 0; Reported gross operating income: 0; Reported total operating expenses: 0; Unit rents listed (each): $9,999 with $9,999 security deposit; leases expire November 1, 2026
Exterior
- Parking: 10 parking spaces; 10 garage spaces; Garage (see remarks)
- Security: Smoke detectors in each unit; Carbon monoxide detectors in each unit; Fire alarm system in each unit
- Utilities: Electric service; Natural gas service; Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Three-story multi-unit building
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built: approximate
- Exterior features: Deck; Open porch(es); Blacktop driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit has an eat-in kitchen; Gas range/oven in each unit
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms; Unit 3: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms total; Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom; Unit 3: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Three heating units; Baseboard hot water and steam radiators; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full walkout basement
- Laundry & utility: Owner pays water for each unit; tenants pay electric and gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $719k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-29/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $707k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $618k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $618k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Paterson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#293 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Paterson Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #458 of 472 in NJ (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 860 units permitted in Passaic County in 2024 (614 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Passaic County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($708k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $196k; list at $719k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.51%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022 E 22nd St | 0.28mi | 9/4.0 | — | 2mo | $790,000 | — | 73 |
| 880 19th St | 0.13mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 4mo | $740,000 | — | 70 |
| 25 Oak St | 0.41mi | 9/4.0 | — | 2mo | $780,000 | — | 66 |
| 28 17th Ave | 0.31mi | 9/3.0 | — | 8mo | $649,000 | — | 63 |
| 1048 22nd St | 0.33mi | 8/4.5 (-1) | — | 3mo | $630,000 | — | 63 |
| 776 22nd St | 0.41mi | 9/3.0 | — | 2mo | $800,000 | — | 63 |
| 23 Oak St | 0.42mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 2mo | $710,000 | — | 58 |
| 58 Park Ave | 0.54mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | — | 3mo | $690,000 | — | 54 |
| 718 18th St | 0.44mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 9mo | $670,000 | — | 51 |
| 610 Main St | 0.66mi | 10/3.0 (+1) | — | 1mo | $490,000 | — | 47 |
| 471-473 E 31st St | 0.67mi | 8/3.5 (-1) | — | 7mo | $715,000 | — | 44 |
| 259 Marshall St | 0.70mi | 10/3.0 (+1) | — | 7mo | $720,000 | — | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $81,239
- Equity at exit
- $323,294
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $297,107
- Equity at exit
- $498,234
Cash invested: $201,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07501-3614
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 29.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,771
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$899 /mo · $10,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$300
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,298
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $411 | -5% $163 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-334 | +10% $-583 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-574 | -5% $-330 | +0% $-86 | +5% $158 | +10% $402 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $97 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-272 | +1.0pp $-462 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1.3 | $6,180 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,060 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,060 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,060 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,181 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $179,750
- Closing costs
- $21,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $719,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $719,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 66-char remark
-
2026-06-18$719,000 Active 19 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $74,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,275
- − Property taxes
- −$10,785
- − Insurance
- −$3,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,934
- − Management
- −$5,934
- − Depreciation
- −$20,916
- Taxable loss
- −$13,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paterson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412690
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,365
- Composite
- 13.02/100
- National rank
- #9568
- State rank
- #458 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Paterson
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #8763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paterson, NJ
Population outlook (Passaic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 525,915 people
- By 2030
- 532,160 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 543,670 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 554,326 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 584,728 · +11.2%
- By 2100
- 598,978 · +13.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+266.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $719,000 GSMLS
- 2014-10-22 Sold (MLS) $196,000 GSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…