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912 Ritchey St
C+ Composite 64.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,500

912 Ritchey St · Gainesville, TX 76240
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1940 9,100 sqft lot $129/sqft · 23% below area Est $155k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THE HOUSE IS LOCATED ON A LARGE CORNER LOT. THE PROPERTY IS PRESENTLY LEASED AND IS A GOOD OPPORTUNITY AS AN INVESTMENT. THE LISTING AGENT IS RELATED TO THE SELLER. BUYER OR BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • 9,100 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.7% in Gainesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gainesville ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #606 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 462 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 190 units permitted in Cooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $826 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.71%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,947
List price
$119,500
Delta
-22.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
912 N Clements St 0.06mi 2/1.5 960 (+3%) 8mo $198,000 $206 83
827 N Morris St 0.23mi 2/1.0 924 (-0%) 9mo $129,500 $140 77
1420 Olive St 0.09mi 2/1.0 832 (-10%) 14mo $150,000 $180 63
724 N Taylor 0.31mi 2/1.0 997 (+7%) 15mo $159,500 $160 56
318 Cunningham St 0.56mi 2/1.0 884 (-5%) 9mo $140,000 $158 54
1201 N Taylor St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,058 (+14%) 0mo $219,900 $208 53
610 Ritchey St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+9%) 14mo $190,000 $188 50
1108 Whaley Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,056 (+14%) 19mo $168,500 $160 47
605 N Denton St 0.75mi 2/1.0 949 (+2%) 21mo $149,900 $158 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,873
Equity at exit
$17,818
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$16,638
Equity at exit
$10,332

Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76240

Active inventory
462
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$627
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,833/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $119,500
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,875
Closing costs
$3,585
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1610 Elizabeth St Gainesville, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.22mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,500 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,500 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,500 Active 149 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,500 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,500 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,500 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,500 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,500 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,500 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,500 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,500 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,500 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,500 Active 134 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,500 Active 133 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,500 Active 132 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,500 Active 131 DOM
  17. 2026-03-30
    price $119,500 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    THE HOUSE IS LOCATED ON A LARGE CORNER LOT. THE PROPERTY IS PRESENTLY LEASED AND IS A GOOD OPPORTUNITY AS AN INVESTMENT. THE LISTING AGENT IS RELATED TO THE SELLER. BUYER OR BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION.

  18. 2026-01-16
    listed $129,500 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    THE HOUSE IS LOCATED ON A LARGE CORNER LOT. THE PROPERTY IS PRESENTLY LEASED AND IS A GOOD OPPORTUNITY AS AN INVESTMENT. THE LISTING AGENT IS RELATED TO THE SELLER. BUYER OR BUYER'S AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION.

  19. 2008-12-10
    soldstatus 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    ATTN: Investors, first time buyers. Priced to sell. .Freshly painted, hardwood floors, and more! Buyer to verify schools, taxes, and dimensions. Sold As Is.

  20. 2008-12-08
    soldstatus
  21. 2008-11-11
    historical 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    ATTN: Investors, first time buyers. Priced to sell. .Freshly painted, hardwood floors, and more! Buyer to verify schools, taxes, and dimensions. Sold As Is.

  22. 2008-11-04
    listed $35,900 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    ATTN: Investors, first time buyers. Priced to sell. .Freshly painted, hardwood floors, and more! Buyer to verify schools, taxes, and dimensions. Sold As Is.

  23. 1983-06-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,833 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,187 · $182/mo
Expected delta
+$354/yr (+$30/mo · 19.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,284
− Mortgage interest
−$6,694
− Property taxes
−$1,833
− Insurance
−$598
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,303
− Management
−$1,303
− Depreciation
−$3,476
Taxable income
$1,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$259
After-tax cash flow
$2,656/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gainesville ISD
NCES district ID
4820220
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$41,772
Composite
26.27/100
National rank
#7252
State rank
#606 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gainesville

Score
66/100
State rank
#602
US rank
#11445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gainesville, TX
County
Cooke County · 29,419 people
City population
29,419
Metro
Gainesville, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,419
Household income
$71,502
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
660.0

Population outlook (Cooke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,965 people
By 2030
39,974 · +0.0%
By 2040
39,772 · -0.5%
By 2050
39,258 · -1.8%
By 2075
37,262 · -6.8%
By 2100
33,363 · -16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cooke

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.9) · D 16.2% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -58.7pp · 2024: -66.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.9 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+68.1 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+58.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.63%
Current HPI
247.3822
Rent YoY
Metro
Gainesville, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+232.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $119,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $129,500 NTREIS
  • 2008-12-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2008-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-11-11 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2008-11-04 Listed $35,900 NTREIS
  • 1983-06-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,833 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…