4401 River Valley Dr #1003 · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Three balconies
- Nueces river access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-47/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (0.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Calallen Wood River El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 479 students, 54% FRL); Calallen Middle (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 968 students, 53% FRL); Calallen H S (math 47% / reading 59%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,180 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; HOA is 36% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.20%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,197
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -24.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4401 River Valley Dr #206 | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,515 (-5%) | 6mo | $68,000 | $45 | 87 |
| 4401 River Valley Dr #205 | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,515 (-5%) | 11mo | $92,500 | $61 | 82 |
| 4401 River Valley #601 | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,527 (-4%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $82 | 75 |
| 13656 Teague | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,357 (-15%) | 13mo | $179,900 | $133 | 43 |
| 13661 Teague #20 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,366 (-14%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $135 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-15,256
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-18,541
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78410
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$610
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $44 | -5% $20 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-138 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-4 | +5% $63 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $39 | -0.5pp $18 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-26 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4301 Catfish Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $2,050 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 13665 Teague Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4609 Cornett Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,950 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5317 Avenue C Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,725 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4022 Wood River Dr Unit 2C Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $610 · $7,320/yr
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-05-20price $85,000 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
-
2026-05-04price $98,500 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
-
2026-03-24price $98,900 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
-
2025-12-31price $98,999 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
-
2025-10-16$99,000 Active 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Welcome to River Run Townhomes, Unit 1003 is nestled directly off the beautiful Nueces River with easy access to fishing, kayaking, and sunset views. This rare tri-level offers an attached garage with interior entry and storage on the first level. The main level showcases three balconies, a spacious living room with fireplace, formal and casual dining, half bath, and a kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and dry bar. Upstairs you’ll find dual primary suites with private ensuites and a laundry room in between. Conveniently located near River Hills Golf Course, shopping, dining, and medical centers, this townhome blends comfort, functionality, and lifestyle.
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2025-08-14price $99,000
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2025-07-08$104,000 Active
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2025-03-14price $104,000
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2024-12-11price $110,000
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2024-10-01status Active
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2024-09-30price $115,000
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2024-07-25$125,000 Active
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2008-09-08$54,900
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1996-01-25soldstatus
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1995-10-31$61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,033 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,033 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$3,033
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − HOA
- −$7,320
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$914
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,780
- Composite
- 39.25/100
- National rank
- #4004
- State rank
- #249 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,040
- Household income
- $79,308
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 324.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.45%
- Current HPI
- 174.0462
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+39.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $85,000 CBMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $98,500 CBMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $98,900 CBMLS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $98,999 CBMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $99,000 CBMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $99,000 CBMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $104,000 CBMLS
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $104,000 CBMLS
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $110,000 CBMLS
- 2024-10-01 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2024-09-30 Price Changed $115,000 CBMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $125,000 CBMLS
- 2008-09-08 Listed $54,900 CBMLS
- 1996-01-25 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 1995-10-31 Listed $61,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,033 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…