4336 Hibiscus Holw · Mesquite, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$328,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-story home shares an open layout between the kitchen, nook and family room for easy entertaining, along with access to the covered patio for year-round outdoor lounging. A luxe owner's suite is in a rear of the home and comes complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms near the front of the home, ideal for household members and overnight guests, as well as a versatile flex space that can transform to meet the homeowner’s needs.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Flex space
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 4336 Hibiscus Holw, Mesquite TX 75181; Inventory type: Spec; Listing last modified 2026-06-07
- Financial info: List price $372,999
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage / 2 total parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family home (Springsteen plan); Active listing
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 2,083
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home (Springsteen plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-514/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $306k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Mesquite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Achziger El (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,208 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 846 students, 75% FRL); Berry Middle (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #540 of 1,662 statewide, top 33%, 579 students, 76% FRL); Horn H S (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 3,029 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 598 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.56%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $316,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4413 Dew Drop Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 2,083 (0%) | 1mo | $319,999 | $154 | 94 |
| 4305 Obsidian Pl | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,973 (-5%) | 1mo | $361,999 | $183 | 80 |
| 4421 Dew Drop Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,973 (-5%) | 1mo | $308,999 | $157 | 79 |
| 4345 Obsidian Pl | 0.07mi | 4/3.5 | 2,231 (+7%) | 2mo | $336,349 | $151 | 78 |
| 4336 Obsidian Pl | 0.08mi | 4/3.5 | 2,231 (+7%) | 1mo | $329,399 | $148 | 77 |
| 4112 Pearl Ln | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 | 2,176 (+4%) | 2mo | $334,199 | $154 | 77 |
| 4308 Obsidian Pl | 0.10mi | 4/3.5 | 2,231 (+7%) | 2mo | $330,999 | $148 | 76 |
| 4204 Daisy Hollow Loop | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,003 (-4%) | 2mo | $293,414 | $146 | 76 |
| 4136 Pearl Ln | 0.20mi | 4/3.5 | 2,284 (+10%) | 2mo | $326,699 | $143 | 67 |
| 4304 Obsidian Pl | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,371 (+14%) | 2mo | $368,999 | $156 | 67 |
| 127 Glenwood Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,908 (-8%) | 2mo | $287,999 | $151 | 53 |
| 126 Glenwood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,860 (-11%) | 2mo | $282,999 | $152 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-64,637
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-93,042
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75181
- Home prices YoY
- -9.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 598
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,058 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$185
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $-43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $71 | +0% $-43 | +5% $-156 | +10% $-270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-284 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-43 | +5% $78 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $123 | -0.5pp $41 | base $-43 | +0.5pp $-128 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Woodhill St Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3216 Southampton Dr Mesquite, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2947 | $3,250 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2600 Waterloo Ln Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1332 Nimitz Way Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,280 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1908 Twisted Tree Ln Mesquite, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2750 | $3,670 | $1.33 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1308 Dawson Way Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2476 | $3,573 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2004 Poppy Way Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,700 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1309 Dawson Way Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,222 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $185 · $2,220/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $328,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $328,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $328,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $328,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $328,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $328,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13$328,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $328,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08price $328,999 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 489-char remark
-
2026-06-08$372,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,936
- − Management
- −$2,936
- − HOA
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$5,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home features a modern open layout with good condition and minimal repairs needed, making it a solid investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Rental Replace window screens — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace window screens — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesquite ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,372
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6606
- State rank
- #536 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mesquite
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #358
- US rank
- #7743
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mesquite, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 150,788
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,788
- Household income
- $111,052
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 857.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 21% White 16% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.63%
- Current HPI
- 257.0959
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.07%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…