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3626 149th St
B- Composite 69.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

3626 149th St · Midlothian, IL 60445
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 873 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1924 Est $195k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't Miss Out!!! This is an excellent opportunity to own a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in the Village of Midlothian. The home sits on 2 lots, has a cozy layout, and has a large and front backyard for entertaining. The property is located near schools, parks, retail, and public transportation.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached, owned garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Built over 100 years ago; Aluminum and vinyl siding with frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; School bus service and commuter train access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiator heat
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished attic
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (8 x 9) with vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.7% in Midlothian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#133 in IL, #2,433 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D-.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bremen High School (math 8% / reading 11%, grade F, #577 of 693 statewide, top 84%, 1,497 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.66%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,679
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14606 Trumbull Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 880 (+1%) 18mo $170,000 $193 65
14944 Terrace Ln 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 894 (+2%) 1mo $240,000 $268 62
14610 Sawyer Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-1%) 5mo $175,000 $203 62
14837 Karlov Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 936 (+7%) 3mo $102,000 $109 59
14730 Homan Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 800 (-8%) 15mo $178,000 $223 59
14349 Millard Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 887 (+2%) 17mo $152,500 $172 54
14950 Terrace Ln 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+3%) 12mo $222,500 $247 52
14617 Trumbull Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+14%) 6mo $170,000 $170 52
14623 Homan Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 974 (+12%) 10mo $177,000 $182 52
14510 Sawyer Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 860 (-2%) 22mo $230,000 $267 42
15208 Lawndale Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+14%) 19mo $289,000 $289 32
15026 Keeler Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 989 (+13%) 14mo $227,000 $230 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,193
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$18,497
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60445

Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,447 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,661/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,139
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3542 147th St Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 6d 2 0.29mi
3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 5d 1 0.40mi
14633 Keystone Ave Unit 3A Midlothian, IL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 2d 1 0.59mi
14601 Keystone Ave Unit B1 Midlothian, IL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,200 $2.00 17d 1 0.61mi
14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 25d 1 1.00mi
14521 Richmond Ave Unit 1 Posen, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 25d 1 1.00mi
13906 Central Park Ave Unit 2N Robbins, IL 3.0 2.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 1d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    price $109,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $119,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,661 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,661 · $222/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,361
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,661
− Insurance
−$1,216
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$325
After-tax cash flow
$2,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Midlothian

Score
78/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#2433

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midlothian, IL
City population
14,445
Population (ZIP)
14,445

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.69%
Current HPI
197.4879
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+29.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,661 · +25.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…