3626 149th St · Midlothian, IL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't Miss Out!!! This is an excellent opportunity to own a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in the Village of Midlothian. The home sits on 2 lots, has a cozy layout, and has a large and front backyard for entertaining. The property is located near schools, parks, retail, and public transportation.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
- Listed 44 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached, owned garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Built over 100 years ago; Aluminum and vinyl siding with frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; School bus service and commuter train access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiator heat
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished attic
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (8 x 9) with vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.7% in Midlothian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#133 in IL, #2,433 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D-.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bremen High School (math 8% / reading 11%, grade F, #577 of 693 statewide, top 84%, 1,497 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.66%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,679
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14606 Trumbull Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+1%) | 18mo | $170,000 | $193 | 65 |
| 14944 Terrace Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 894 (+2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $268 | 62 |
| 14610 Sawyer Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-1%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 14837 Karlov Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+7%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $109 | 59 |
| 14730 Homan Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-8%) | 15mo | $178,000 | $223 | 59 |
| 14349 Millard Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 887 (+2%) | 17mo | $152,500 | $172 | 54 |
| 14950 Terrace Ln | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+3%) | 12mo | $222,500 | $247 | 52 |
| 14617 Trumbull Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+14%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 14623 Homan Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 974 (+12%) | 10mo | $177,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 14510 Sawyer Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 860 (-2%) | 22mo | $230,000 | $267 | 42 |
| 15208 Lawndale Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+14%) | 19mo | $289,000 | $289 | 32 |
| 15026 Keeler Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 989 (+13%) | 14mo | $227,000 | $230 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,193
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $18,497
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60445
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,661/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3542 147th St Midlothian, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 6d | 2 | 0.29mi |
| 3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,500 | $1.84 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 14633 Keystone Ave Unit 3A Midlothian, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14601 Keystone Ave Unit B1 Midlothian, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14521 Richmond Ave Unit 1 Posen, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 13906 Central Park Ave Unit 2N Robbins, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $109,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,661 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,661 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,661
- − Insurance
- −$1,216
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$325
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Midlothian
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #2433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midlothian, IL
- City population
- 14,445
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,445
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 17% Black 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.69%
- Current HPI
- 197.4879
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+29.4%/yrLatest (2023): $2,661 · +25.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…