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2733 Locust St
B Composite 71.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

2733 Locust St · Portage, IN 46368
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,824 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1949 0.40 ac lot $85/sqft · 29% below area Est $233k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Cape Cod positioned on three oversized lots at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, offering privacy and room to expand. The home features a sunken living room with a gas fireplace, a practical galley kitchen with all appliances included, and a rec room off the kitchen with french doors leading to the deck. The main floor primary bedroom provides direct access to the full bath. A standout feature is the alley-access 2 car garage, complete with a steel beam hoist and pit. A rare setup ideal for mechanics, hobbyists, or anyone needing a functional workshop. This property is an INVESTORS SPECIAL with strong upside. With its generous lot size, flexible layout, and unique garage features, it's an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a solid project with a respectable ARV.

Key facts

  • Galley kitchen
  • Rec room
  • Sunken living room

Tags

SUNKEN LIVING ROOMGAS FIREPLACEGALLEY KITCHENREC ROOMFRENCH DOORSDECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#111 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Portage Township Schools (suburban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #221 of 301 in IN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 542 units permitted in Porter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Porter County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $109k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.66%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,626
List price
$155,000
Delta
-33.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2733 Locust St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,956 (+7%) 1mo $136,000 $70 87
5234 Central Ave 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,784 (-2%) 4mo $254,900 $143 76
5271 Central Ave 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,680 (-8%) 6mo $130,000 $77 69
2868 Edgewood St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,746 (-4%) 1mo $343,400 $197 66
2798 Emerson St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,746 (-4%) 12mo $200,000 $115 49
5464 Stone Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-7%) 4mo $255,000 $150 48
2966 Arlene St 0.49mi 3/1.0 2,020 (+11%) 14mo $259,900 $129 48
2698 County Line 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,016 (+10%) 2mo $247,000 $123 47
5001 Marquette Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,675 (-8%) 4mo $259,500 $155 45
3094 Cooley St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (-1%) 12mo $291,000 $162 45
2980 Elmwood St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,590 (-13%) 8mo $190,000 $119 38
3093 May St 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,565 (-14%) 6mo $275,000 $176 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$6,446
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$53,288
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46368

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,842 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,435/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,262
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $502 +0% $458 +5% $414 +10% $370
Rent -10% $312 -5% $385 +0% $458 +5% $531 +10% $603
Rate -1.0pp $536 -0.5pp $497 base $458 +0.5pp $418 +1.0pp $377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5091 Central Ave Portage, IN 3.0 1.0 1644 $2,000 $1.22 2d 1 0.31mi
4546 Marquette Rd Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1621 $1,800 $1.11 2d 1 0.89mi
5211 Rachel Ave Unit 5208 Portage, IN 2.0 1.5 1320 $1,392 $1.05 16d 1 0.90mi
5211 Rachel Ave Unit 5214 Portage, IN 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,474 $1.12 4d 1 0.90mi
5211 Rachel Ave Unit 5210 Portage, IN 2.0 1.5 1320 $1,475 $1.12 2d 1 0.90mi
2870 Vigo St Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,850 $1.28 44d 1 0.92mi
2701 Union St Lake Station, IN 3.0 2.0 1958 $1,700 $0.87 44d 1 0.99mi
5423 Tulip Ave Portage, IN 3.0 1.0 1872 $2,000 $1.07 13d 1 1.11mi
5750 Blossom Ave Portage, IN 3.0 2.0 1232 $2,500 $2.03 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod positioned on three oversized lots at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, offering privacy and room to expand. The home features a sunken living room with a gas fireplace, a practical galley kitchen with all appliances included, and a rec room off the kitchen with french doors leading to the deck. The main floor primary bedroom provides direct access to the full bath. A standout feature is the alley-access 2 car garage, complete with a steel beam hoist and pit. A rare setup ideal for mechanics, hobbyists, or anyone needing a functional workshop. This property is an INVESTORS SPECIAL with strong upside. With its generous lot size, flexible layout, and unique garage features, it's an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a solid project with a respectable ARV.

  2. 2026-04-29
    price $155,000 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod positioned on three oversized lots at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, offering privacy and room to expand. The home features a sunken living room with a gas fireplace, a practical galley kitchen with all appliances included, and a rec room off the kitchen with french doors leading to the deck. The main floor primary bedroom provides direct access to the full bath. A standout feature is the alley-access 2 car garage, complete with a steel beam hoist and pit. A rare setup ideal for mechanics, hobbyists, or anyone needing a functional workshop. This property is an INVESTORS SPECIAL with strong upside. With its generous lot size, flexible layout, and unique garage features, it's an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a solid project with a respectable ARV.

  3. 2026-03-15
    price $162,250 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod positioned on three oversized lots at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, offering privacy and room to expand. The home features a sunken living room with a gas fireplace, a practical galley kitchen with all appliances included, and a rec room off the kitchen with french doors leading to the deck. The main floor primary bedroom provides direct access to the full bath. A standout feature is the alley-access 2 car garage, complete with a steel beam hoist and pit. A rare setup ideal for mechanics, hobbyists, or anyone needing a functional workshop. This property is an INVESTORS SPECIAL with strong upside. With its generous lot size, flexible layout, and unique garage features, it's an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a solid project with a respectable ARV.

  4. 2026-02-25
    listed $173,400 Active 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Charming Cape Cod positioned on three oversized lots at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, offering privacy and room to expand. The home features a sunken living room with a gas fireplace, a practical galley kitchen with all appliances included, and a rec room off the kitchen with french doors leading to the deck. The main floor primary bedroom provides direct access to the full bath. A standout feature is the alley-access 2 car garage, complete with a steel beam hoist and pit. A rare setup ideal for mechanics, hobbyists, or anyone needing a functional workshop. This property is an INVESTORS SPECIAL with strong upside. With its generous lot size, flexible layout, and unique garage features, it's an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a solid project with a respectable ARV.

  5. 2015-10-09
    soldstatus $109,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Adorable Cape Cod sitting on 3 lots on a cul-de-sac. Sunken living room with gas fireplace, galley kitchen with all appliances, including washer & dryer. Rec room off the kitchen with French doors to deck. Main floor master bedroom with access to full bath. Alley entrance 1.5 car garage with steel beam hoist & pit.

  6. 2015-04-19
    listed $109,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Adorable Cape Cod sitting on 3 lots on a cul-de-sac. Sunken living room with gas fireplace, galley kitchen with all appliances, including washer & dryer. Rec room off the kitchen with French doors to deck. Main floor master bedroom with access to full bath. Alley entrance 1.5 car garage with steel beam hoist & pit.

  7. 2015-01-09
    historical
  8. 2014-07-07
    listed $112,000
  9. 2012-11-02
    historical
  10. 2012-05-24
    listed $103,921
  11. 2011-09-23
    historical
  12. 2011-08-12
    listed $103,921
  13. 2011-04-01
    historical
  14. 2010-06-28
    listed $99,900
  15. 2010-06-15
    historical
  16. 2009-12-14
    listed $99,999

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,435 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,435 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,099
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,435
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$3,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$759
After-tax cash flow
$4,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portage Township Schools
NCES district ID
1809150
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$53,880
Composite
27.37/100
National rank
#6978
State rank
#221 of 301 in IN

Livability — Portage

Score
72/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#5725

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portage, IN
County
Porter County · 151,647 people
City population
40,301
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
40,301
Household income
$76,368
Rent vs Own
26.6% rent · 73.4% own
Severe rent burden
856.0

Population outlook (Porter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,804 people
By 2030
181,552 · +2.1%
By 2040
185,830 · +4.5%
By 2050
187,498 · +5.5%
By 2075
189,585 · +6.6%
By 2100
183,722 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Porter

2024 margin
R (+10.5) · D 43.8% · R 54.3% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -10.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.5 2020: R+6.1 2016: R+6.8 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.94%
Current HPI
181.3254
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $155,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-15 Price Changed $162,250 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $173,400 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) $109,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-19 Listed $109,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-09 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-07 Listed $112,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-02 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-24 Listed $103,921 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-23 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-12 Listed $103,921 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-04-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-28 Listed $99,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-15 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-14 Listed $99,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,435 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…