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166 Thompson St
B+ Composite 78.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,000

166 Thompson St · Rusk, TX 75785
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,328 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1974 $34/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special in the heart of Rusk! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you’re looking for your next flip, rental property, or a place to make your own, this fixer upper offers a great opportunity at an affordable price. Situated on a spacious lot with mature trees and located conveniently near town amenities, this property is ready for a fresh start. Bring your ideas and make this one shine again!

Key facts

  • Near town amenities
  • Spacious lot
  • Mature trees

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTMATURE TREESNEAR TOWN AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Gas oven; Gas range; Ceiling fans; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 3.0% in Rusk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#405 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Rusk ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #380 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rusk El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 288 students, 74% FRL); Rusk J H (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #637 of 1,662 statewide, top 39%, 478 students, 65% FRL); Rusk H S (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 610 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
19.07%
Cash-on-cash
45.62%
DSCR
3.03
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,733
List price
$45,000
Delta
-63.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.8%
Equity multiple
5.15×
Total profit
$52,260
Equity at exit
$37,591
10-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
11.27×
Total profit
$129,352
Equity at exit
$78,121

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75785

Home prices YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $495 +0% $479 +5% $463 +10% $448
Rent -10% $400 -5% $440 +0% $479 +5% $519 +10% $558
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $490 base $479 +0.5pp $467 +1.0pp $455

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
329 E 6th St Apt 2 Rusk, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 458-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $45,000 Active 458-char remark
  3. 1995-12-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,350
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,284
After-tax cash flow
$4,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rusk ISD
NCES district ID
4838360
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,890
Composite
34.96/100
National rank
#5062
State rank
#380 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rusk

Score
69/100
State rank
#405
US rank
#8394

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rusk, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,769

Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,949 people
By 2030
51,984 · +0.1%
By 2040
51,780 · -0.3%
By 2050
51,085 · -1.7%
By 2075
47,418 · -8.7%
By 2100
39,464 · -24.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 18.3% · R 80.9%
2008→2024 swing
-19.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.2pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+55.8 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+43.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.09%
Current HPI
147.91
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2026-05-19 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $45,000 GTAR
  • 1995-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,334 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…